Please keep all TPC advisories and recon obs in one thread. Please post them here. It is easier to have them in one thread then starting new ones about the same thing.
Thanks!!
TPC advisories and recon obs/vortex messages
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
TPC advisories and recon obs/vortex messages
Last edited by Lindaloo on Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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479
WTNT31 KNHC 020602
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
...ALEX REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS
TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA.
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE NEAR
LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
ALEX HAS BEEN MEANDERING OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL BE SLOWLY APPROACHING THE
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...31.4 N... 79.4 W. MOVEMENT
...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
WTNT31 KNHC 020602
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
...ALEX REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS
TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA.
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE NEAR
LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
ALEX HAS BEEN MEANDERING OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL BE SLOWLY APPROACHING THE
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...31.4 N... 79.4 W. MOVEMENT
...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
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000
URNT12 KNHC 020510
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/0510Z
B. 31 DEG 22 MIN N
79 DEG 27 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1470 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 139 DEG 40 KT
G. 029 DEG 44 NM
H. 1005 MB
I. 19 C/ 1562 M
J. 20 C/ 1567 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1 345/8
O. 0.1/ 15 NM
P. AF861 0501A ALEX OB 19
MAX FL WIND 40 KT NE QUAD 0457Z. MAX FLT TEMP 20C 022/33NM FROM
FL CNTR
URNT12 KNHC 020510
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/0510Z
B. 31 DEG 22 MIN N
79 DEG 27 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1470 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 139 DEG 40 KT
G. 029 DEG 44 NM
H. 1005 MB
I. 19 C/ 1562 M
J. 20 C/ 1567 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1 345/8
O. 0.1/ 15 NM
P. AF861 0501A ALEX OB 19
MAX FL WIND 40 KT NE QUAD 0457Z. MAX FLT TEMP 20C 022/33NM FROM
FL CNTR
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-
Anonymous
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
...ALEX STILL STALLED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS
TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
ALEX HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT A SLOW NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE A LITTLE NEARER TO THE COASTS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.4 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1004 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
...ALEX STILL STALLED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS
TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH
CAROLINA.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
ALEX HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT A SLOW NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE A LITTLE NEARER TO THE COASTS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.4 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1004 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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-
The Dark Knight
- Category 3
- Posts: 800
- Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
- Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
- Contact:
New Vortex much stronger!
URNT12 KNHC 021131
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/1131Z
B. 31 DEG 18 MIN N
79 DEG 00 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1354 M
D. 45 KT
E. 129 DEG 042 NM
F. 216 DEG 62 KT
G. 124 DEG 022 NM
H. 992 MB
I. 15 C/ 1527 M
J. 20 C/ 1542 M
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.1/2 NM
P. AF866 0601A ALEX OB 05
MAX FL WIND 62 KT SE QUAD 1124Z.
URNT12 KNHC 021131
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/1131Z
B. 31 DEG 18 MIN N
79 DEG 00 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1354 M
D. 45 KT
E. 129 DEG 042 NM
F. 216 DEG 62 KT
G. 124 DEG 022 NM
H. 992 MB
I. 15 C/ 1527 M
J. 20 C/ 1542 M
K. 19 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.1/2 NM
P. AF866 0601A ALEX OB 05
MAX FL WIND 62 KT SE QUAD 1124Z.
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Thats whata closed LLC with convection will do for ya..
-
Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
Tropical Storm Alex Special Advisory Number 8
Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 02, 2004
...Alex strengthens...
Radar imagery and reports from an Air Force reserve unit
reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Alex has begun to strengthen.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Hatteras North Carolina...including the
Pamlico Sound. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for north of Cape Hatteras
to Oregon Inlet North Carolina. A tropical storm watch also
remains in effect from Edisto Beach to South Santee River South
Carolina.
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located
near latitude 31.3 north...longitude 79.0 west or about 120
miles...south-southeast of Charleston South Carolina.
Alex has been drifting eastward over the past few hours.
However...a slow motion toward the north or northeast is expected
over the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Alex
will be slowly approaching the coasts of south and North Carolina
later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected during the next 24
hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
...165 km from the center.
An Air Force reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft recently reported
a minimum central pressure of 992 mb...29.29 inches.
Storm total rainfall accumulations of 1-2 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.
High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...31.3 N... 79.0 W. Movement
...Drifting east. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure... 992 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 02, 2004
...Alex strengthens...
Radar imagery and reports from an Air Force reserve unit
reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Alex has begun to strengthen.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Hatteras North Carolina...including the
Pamlico Sound. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for north of Cape Hatteras
to Oregon Inlet North Carolina. A tropical storm watch also
remains in effect from Edisto Beach to South Santee River South
Carolina.
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located
near latitude 31.3 north...longitude 79.0 west or about 120
miles...south-southeast of Charleston South Carolina.
Alex has been drifting eastward over the past few hours.
However...a slow motion toward the north or northeast is expected
over the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Alex
will be slowly approaching the coasts of south and North Carolina
later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected during the next 24
hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
...165 km from the center.
An Air Force reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft recently reported
a minimum central pressure of 992 mb...29.29 inches.
Storm total rainfall accumulations of 1-2 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.
High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...31.3 N... 79.0 W. Movement
...Drifting east. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure... 992 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
0 likes
On the to a Hurricane
The radar is showing an eye has developed and the convection is just amazing. Currently undergoing rapid intensification. I expect no less the 60MPH at the next advisory
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Wnghs2007
- Category 5
- Posts: 6836
- Age: 36
- Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
- Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
- Contact:
HURRICANE ALEX!!!!!!!!!:D
URNT12 KNHC 030516
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/0516Z
B. 32 DEG 55 MIN N
77 DEG 32 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1265 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 245 DEG 81 KT
G. 172 DEG 17 NM
H. 983 MB
I. 18 C/ 1569 M
J. 21 C/ 1554 M
K. 18 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C10
N. 12345/8
O. 0.5/2.0 NM
P. AF866 0701A ALEX OB 18
MAX FL WIND 81 KT SE QUAD 0510Z.
;
URNT12 KNHC 030516
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/0516Z
B. 32 DEG 55 MIN N
77 DEG 32 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1265 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 245 DEG 81 KT
G. 172 DEG 17 NM
H. 983 MB
I. 18 C/ 1569 M
J. 21 C/ 1554 M
K. 18 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C10
N. 12345/8
O. 0.5/2.0 NM
P. AF866 0701A ALEX OB 18
MAX FL WIND 81 KT SE QUAD 0510Z.
;
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-
Wnghs2007
- Category 5
- Posts: 6836
- Age: 36
- Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
- Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
- Contact:
Hurricane Alex Intermediate Advisory Number 11a
Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on August 03, 2004
...Alex becomes the first hurricane of the 2004 season...moving
almost parallel to the North Carolina coast...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet
North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means that
hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area during
the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should
be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to
the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina.
Reports from an Air Force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and the
National Weather Service Doppler radar at Wilmington North Carolina
indicate that Alex has become a hurricane.
At 2 am EDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located
near latitude 33.0 north...longitude 77.4 west or about 75 miles
south-southeast of Wilmington North Carolina.
Alex is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph. This general
motion...with a gradual increase in forward speed...is expected
for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Alex
is forecast to pass very near the North Carolina Outer Banks later
today.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the
center. A NOAA buoy located near Frying Pan Shoals North Carolina
recently reported a wind gust of 49 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force reserve
reconnaissance aircraft was 983 mb...29.03 inches.
Storm total rainfall accumulations of 2-3 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1-2 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected on Atlantic shorelines. Storm surge flooding of 2-4
feet above normal tide levels can be expected inside Pamlico Sound.
High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.
Repeating the 2 am EDT position...33.0 N... 77.4 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 9 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 983 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Beven
Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on August 03, 2004
...Alex becomes the first hurricane of the 2004 season...moving
almost parallel to the North Carolina coast...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet
North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means that
hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area during
the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should
be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to
the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina.
Reports from an Air Force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and the
National Weather Service Doppler radar at Wilmington North Carolina
indicate that Alex has become a hurricane.
At 2 am EDT...0600z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located
near latitude 33.0 north...longitude 77.4 west or about 75 miles
south-southeast of Wilmington North Carolina.
Alex is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph. This general
motion...with a gradual increase in forward speed...is expected
for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of Alex
is forecast to pass very near the North Carolina Outer Banks later
today.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the
center. A NOAA buoy located near Frying Pan Shoals North Carolina
recently reported a wind gust of 49 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force reserve
reconnaissance aircraft was 983 mb...29.03 inches.
Storm total rainfall accumulations of 2-3 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1-2 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected on Atlantic shorelines. Storm surge flooding of 2-4
feet above normal tide levels can be expected inside Pamlico Sound.
High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.
Repeating the 2 am EDT position...33.0 N... 77.4 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 9 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 983 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Beven
0 likes
-
HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
In the past 20 years, Alex becomes only the 5th "A" storm to reach hurricane status.
Here are the 5 hurricanes:
Hurricane Arlene 1987
Hurricane Andrew 1992
Hurricane Allison 1995
Hurricane Alberto 2000
Hurricane Alex 2004
Here are all the "A" hurricanes:
1950 Hurricane Able (Category 4)
1951 Hurricane Able (Category 3)
1952 Hurricane Able (Category 2)
1954 Hurricane Alice (Category 1)
1955 Hurricane Alice (Category 1) (latest and earliest hurricane to occur in the Atlantic. Was a hurricane from 12/30/1954-1/4/1955)
1956 Hurricane Anna (Category 1)
1957 Hurricane Audrey* (Category 4) (Only June hurricane to reach Category 4 status)
1960 Hurricane Abby (Category 2)
1961 Hurricane Anna (Category 3)
1962 Hurricane Alma (Category 2)
1963 Hurricane Arlene (Category 2)
1965 Hurricane Anna (Category 1)
1966 Hurricane Alma (Category 3) (earliest hurricane to strike the U.S.)
1967 Hurricane Arlene (Category 1)
1968 Hurricane Abby (Category 1)
1970 Hurricane Alma (Category 1)
1972 Hurricane Agnes* (Category 1)
1973 Hurricane Alice (Category 1)
1977 Hurricane Anita* (Category 5)
1980 Hurricane Allen* (Category 5)
1982 Hurricane Alberto (Category 1)
1983 Hurricane Alicia* (Category 3)
1987 Hurricane Arlene (Category 1)
1992 Hurricane Andrew* (Category 5)
1995 Hurricane Allison (Category 1)
2000 Hurricane Alberto (Category 3)
2004 Hurricane Alex (Category 1)
Here are the 5 hurricanes:
Hurricane Arlene 1987
Hurricane Andrew 1992
Hurricane Allison 1995
Hurricane Alberto 2000
Hurricane Alex 2004
Here are all the "A" hurricanes:
1950 Hurricane Able (Category 4)
1951 Hurricane Able (Category 3)
1952 Hurricane Able (Category 2)
1954 Hurricane Alice (Category 1)
1955 Hurricane Alice (Category 1) (latest and earliest hurricane to occur in the Atlantic. Was a hurricane from 12/30/1954-1/4/1955)
1956 Hurricane Anna (Category 1)
1957 Hurricane Audrey* (Category 4) (Only June hurricane to reach Category 4 status)
1960 Hurricane Abby (Category 2)
1961 Hurricane Anna (Category 3)
1962 Hurricane Alma (Category 2)
1963 Hurricane Arlene (Category 2)
1965 Hurricane Anna (Category 1)
1966 Hurricane Alma (Category 3) (earliest hurricane to strike the U.S.)
1967 Hurricane Arlene (Category 1)
1968 Hurricane Abby (Category 1)
1970 Hurricane Alma (Category 1)
1972 Hurricane Agnes* (Category 1)
1973 Hurricane Alice (Category 1)
1977 Hurricane Anita* (Category 5)
1980 Hurricane Allen* (Category 5)
1982 Hurricane Alberto (Category 1)
1983 Hurricane Alicia* (Category 3)
1987 Hurricane Arlene (Category 1)
1992 Hurricane Andrew* (Category 5)
1995 Hurricane Allison (Category 1)
2000 Hurricane Alberto (Category 3)
2004 Hurricane Alex (Category 1)
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5 AM advisory
Alex, the first hurricane of the 2004 Hurricane Season continues to strengthen this morning. At 5 AM EDT, hurricane warnings remain in effect from Cape Lookout, NC to Oregon Inlet, NC meaning hurricane conditions are expected within the next 24 hours or less. A tropical storm warning is in effect from Oregon Inlet to the NC/VA border and from Cape Lookout to Santee River, SC meaning tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 24 hours. Frying Pan Shoals had a sustained wind of 38 mph with a gust to 47 mph while Wilmington, NC area gusted to 40 mph throughout the early morning hours on Tuesday.
At 5 AM EDT, the center of Hurricane Alex was located near latitude 33.5 north, longitude 76.9 west or about 80 miles south southeast of Cape Lookout, North Carolina or 75 miles east southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina.
Movement is northeast at 10 mph, which is expected to continue with a increase in forward speed throughout the day today. This brings the center of Hurricane Alex close to the Outer Banks later today.
Maximum sustained winds are now up to near 80 mph with higher gusts. Alex could strengthen further throughout the day today.
Minimum central pressure is 983 mb or 29.03 inches. This could also drop further as the morning wears on.
Storm surge levels of 1-2 feet can be expected along the Atlantic Shoreline with 2-4 foot surges expected on the Pamilco Sound. Rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches with isolated higher amounts are possile with Alex, expecially closer to the Outer Banks.
Alex isn't the only tropical system in the Atlantic this morning. We have a low pressure system about 2 1/2 days away from the Leeward Islands. It's moving toward the west northwest and is centered about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antillies. This system could become a tropical depression later today. There is also another low pressure system near the Cape Verde Islands at this time.
Jim
At 5 AM EDT, the center of Hurricane Alex was located near latitude 33.5 north, longitude 76.9 west or about 80 miles south southeast of Cape Lookout, North Carolina or 75 miles east southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina.
Movement is northeast at 10 mph, which is expected to continue with a increase in forward speed throughout the day today. This brings the center of Hurricane Alex close to the Outer Banks later today.
Maximum sustained winds are now up to near 80 mph with higher gusts. Alex could strengthen further throughout the day today.
Minimum central pressure is 983 mb or 29.03 inches. This could also drop further as the morning wears on.
Storm surge levels of 1-2 feet can be expected along the Atlantic Shoreline with 2-4 foot surges expected on the Pamilco Sound. Rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches with isolated higher amounts are possile with Alex, expecially closer to the Outer Banks.
Alex isn't the only tropical system in the Atlantic this morning. We have a low pressure system about 2 1/2 days away from the Leeward Islands. It's moving toward the west northwest and is centered about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antillies. This system could become a tropical depression later today. There is also another low pressure system near the Cape Verde Islands at this time.
Jim
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Hurricane Alex Intermediate Advisory Number 12a
Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 03, 2004
...Alex continues to strengthen as it approaches the Outer Banks...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon
Inlet North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means
that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area
during the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to
the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear to Cape
Lookout North Carolina.
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located near
latitude 34.1 north...longitude 76.5 west or about 35 miles
south of Cape Lookout North Carolina.
Over the past few hours Alex has been moving toward the
north-northeast near 14 mph. A motion toward the northeast with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours. On
the forecast track...the center of Alex will begin passing very
near the North Carolina Outer Banks later this morning. Any motion
to the left of the forecast track could bring the center of the
hurricane across the North Carolina Outer Banks.
Reports from a reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Alex continues
to strengthen with maximum sustained winds near 90 mph...with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105
miles.
The minimum central pressure measured by reconnaissance aircraft was
972 mb...28.70 inches.
Storm total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected on Atlantic shorelines. Storm surge flooding of 2
to 4 feet above normal tide levels can be expected inside Pamlico
Sound. High surf and rip currents will affect much of the
southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next
couple of days.
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...34.1 N... 76.5 W. Movement
toward...north-northeast near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 90 mph. Minimum central pressure... 983 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 03, 2004
...Alex continues to strengthen as it approaches the Outer Banks...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon
Inlet North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means
that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area
during the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to
the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear to Cape
Lookout North Carolina.
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located near
latitude 34.1 north...longitude 76.5 west or about 35 miles
south of Cape Lookout North Carolina.
Over the past few hours Alex has been moving toward the
north-northeast near 14 mph. A motion toward the northeast with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours. On
the forecast track...the center of Alex will begin passing very
near the North Carolina Outer Banks later this morning. Any motion
to the left of the forecast track could bring the center of the
hurricane across the North Carolina Outer Banks.
Reports from a reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Alex continues
to strengthen with maximum sustained winds near 90 mph...with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible today.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105
miles.
The minimum central pressure measured by reconnaissance aircraft was
972 mb...28.70 inches.
Storm total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected on Atlantic shorelines. Storm surge flooding of 2
to 4 feet above normal tide levels can be expected inside Pamlico
Sound. High surf and rip currents will affect much of the
southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next
couple of days.
Repeating the 8 am EDT position...34.1 N... 76.5 W. Movement
toward...north-northeast near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 90 mph. Minimum central pressure... 983 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
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