Alex Advisories

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tallywx
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#921 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:17 pm

I'm sure winds increased at least some since that 12:23 p.m. ob, since they were only experiencing the fringes of the outer eye at that time (at the very same time that ncweatherwizard talked to people there, who said, "Hatteras Village reporting winds around 40mph, with gusts up to hurricane force, and blinding rain. ") So according to first-hand account, it looks like conditions got MUCH worse there after the 12:23 KHSE ob.
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#922 Postby ncbird » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:18 pm

Hey Drec..... this storm was just classified as a hurricane at 2am est. That is less than 12 hrs ago. No one was prepared or had warning that this storm was going to develop the way it did. And there are already reports comming from the area of them getting Hurricane strenght winds. People are gonna have damage, lifes could be lost. Have a heart.
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#923 Postby Stormchaser16 » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:18 pm

Hatteras is right in the Western portion of the eyewall, I would suspect that sustained hurricane force winds were felt here
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#924 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:18 pm

Awesome...so close....

Image
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#925 Postby soonertwister » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:19 pm

Check out Diamond Shoals. It took forever for the latest report to come in. The 12:50 report is 30 minutes overdue.

At 11:50 EDT

Wind ESE at 46.6 kts
Wave Ht. 21.7 feet (!)
Pressure 29.26 and falling
Pressure tendency -0.41 (!!!)

Eye still coming that way. Since wind was ESE, that means the eye was somwhere west of the buoy, and the buoy isn't all that far east of Hatteras.

I'm afraid that Hatteras is going to be seriously damaged from this storm. We can only hope that everyone is safe.
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#926 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:20 pm

ncbird wrote:Hey Drec..... this storm was just classified as a hurricane at 2am est. That is less than 12 hrs ago. No one was prepared or had warning that this storm was going to develop the way it did. And there are already reports comming from the area of them getting Hurricane strenght winds. People are gonna have damage, lifes could be lost. Have a heart.


He has a heart.

I would agree with him -- they did have warning and hopefully were prepared.
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#927 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:20 pm

Just in..."Another unofficial report was received from Hatteras Village of 65 mph sustained winds with a gust to 86 mph.

These supposed "TS conditions" don't comprise gusts to 86 mph, do they?
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#928 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:21 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#929 Postby ncweatherwizard » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:21 pm

1:15PM: Hatteras Village reporting sustained winds of about 70-80mph, with gust over 90. Worst part was at 100+ gusts. Tidal flooding starting to become a problem as winds have shifted to the north out of the Pamlico Sound--having to move cars away from water--currently tides are 1.5 to 2 feet higher than they've been all summer.

1:08PM: Avon: 40-45mph winds. Cars travelling on highway. Heavy rain. Gusts 60-65mph out of the northeast...also no power.
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#930 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:22 pm

:eek: 21 Foot Waves!!! Oh My!! :eek:
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#931 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:22 pm

Here are some more obs, straight from the NHC...

Hatteras Village, 1130 a.m. AMATEUR RADIO

77 MPH WIND GUST.

Hatteras Village, 1200 p.m.

SUSTAINED WIND 65 MPH WITH GUST TO 85 MPH. HIGHWAY 12 OVERWASHED IN SPOTS.

Buxton, 1224 p.m.
TRAINED SPOTTER

72 MPH WIND GUST.

Hatteras Village, 1230 p.m.
EMERGENCY MNGR

83 MPH WIND GUST.

Yep, just your typical TS force conditions.
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#932 Postby Scott_inVA » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:23 pm

Derecho wrote:It's reporting fine at the PSU buoy site.....


I got lost in the PSU-FSU redirect but did find the raw data:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/buoydata/data/curr/atl-west.html

thanks John.

Scott
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#933 Postby ncweatherwizard » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:23 pm

Derecho wrote:
ncweatherwizard wrote:Conditions rapidly deteiorating. Strongest portion seems to be in Hatteras Village. People reporting winds sustained at hurricane force gusting to about 100mph. Rain water flooding a problem, but not storm surge. No power or cable. All roads remain open. As I was talking there was a very strong wind gust which I could hear partially over the phone.

Buxton still not yet receiving strongest winds...55-60mph. Otherwise, no storm surge; however, rainfall flooding is a problem.



Are these people with their own anemometers?

KSHE (Hatteras Airport) at 12:23PM had:

Wind from the ENE (060 degrees) at 38 MPH (33 KT) gusting to 61 MPH (53 KT)


I doubt it. But trust them...these guys have seen more hurricanes than you'll ever dream of seeing. Also, last update was the captain of a fishing boat...of course he would be well-versed in estimating winds.
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#934 Postby Stormchaser16 » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:24 pm

Sounds pretty nasty
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#935 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:25 pm

Bump


For those who might of not seen
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#936 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:25 pm

Here are some reports relayed to NWS Morehead City by "professionals":

Hatteras Village, 1130 a.m. AMATEUR RADIO

77 MPH WIND GUST.

Hatteras Village, 1200 p.m. EMGCY MANAGER

SUSTAINED WIND 65 MPH WITH GUST TO 85 MPH. HIGHWAY 12 OVERWASHED IN SPOTS.

Buxton, 1224 p.m.
TRAINED SPOTTER

72 MPH WIND GUST.

Hatteras Village, 1230 p.m.
EMERGENCY MNGR

83 MPH WIND GUST.

Looks like things are adding up pretty well, and remember...1230 p.m. was right BEFORE the worst conditions arrived according to your phone calls, ncweatherwizard.
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#937 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:25 pm

tracyswfla wrote:What is so scary is that these people had literally no notice that this storm was going to strengthen and they would have a direct hit!


Well...JB called it. He asid a couple of days ago he was looking for a hurricane with a pressure b/w 970 and 980 to pass over Hatteras (or just a little west). So...depending on who you listened to...they had warning.

So...for all those JB bashers...props are at least due here...he called a 970 storm 2 days ago when Alex was nothing to look at.
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#938 Postby Stormchaser16 » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:26 pm

Yup thats it, I would suspect that this may get up to 110?
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rainstorm

#939 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:26 pm

nice
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#940 Postby Stephanie » Tue Aug 03, 2004 12:26 pm

That's what I'm worried about here in Atlantic City. Alex should've turned a day ago!

You guys are right though, NYC doesn't need anything else right now!
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