From the Brownsville AFD
.LONG TERM...00Z GFS80 MODEL RUN CONTINUES TO BACK WINDS TO THE EAST
FRIDAY AND NORTHEAST SATURDAY. BELIEVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WASH
OUT ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND SATURDAY SO WILL KEEP LIGHT SOUTHEAST
WINDS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX. 500MB RIDGE OVER WEST TX EXPECTED TO
SHIFT SLIGHTLY WESTWARD SATURDAY AS THE STRONG 500MB TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL HAVE TO KEEP
AN EYE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA THIS WEEKEND AS THE GFS PROGS
THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING TO MOVE
TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SATURDAY. AFTER SATURDAY...THE GFS
BRINGS 700MB LOW ACROSS CUBA TOWARDS FLORIDA SUNDAY.
NW Caribbean this Weekend
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NW Caribbean this Weekend
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Key West AFD
From the Key West AFD:
...BOTH THE ETA AND
GFS ARE NOW HANDLING THE REMNANTS OF TD 2 DIFFERENTLY THAN ON
PREVIOUS RUNS. ETA TRACKS THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE POCKET FARTHER TO
THE WEST AND QUICKER THAN THE GFS...WHICH PIVOTS ITS STRONGER
DEVELOPMENT JUST TO OUR EAST LATE THIS WEEKEND. THIS COULD SPELL
SOME CHANGES FOR THOSE PERIODS SHOULD THERE BE REDEVELOPMENT ON THIS
MORE WESTERN TRACK THAN PREVIOSLY THOUGHT.
...BOTH THE ETA AND
GFS ARE NOW HANDLING THE REMNANTS OF TD 2 DIFFERENTLY THAN ON
PREVIOUS RUNS. ETA TRACKS THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE POCKET FARTHER TO
THE WEST AND QUICKER THAN THE GFS...WHICH PIVOTS ITS STRONGER
DEVELOPMENT JUST TO OUR EAST LATE THIS WEEKEND. THIS COULD SPELL
SOME CHANGES FOR THOSE PERIODS SHOULD THERE BE REDEVELOPMENT ON THIS
MORE WESTERN TRACK THAN PREVIOSLY THOUGHT.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
From Tampa AFD
Tampa AFD:
BEYOND THIS THE
WIND/SEA FORECAST WILL ALL HINGE ON WHAT HAPPENS TO A TROPICAL
FEATURE DEPICTED BY MODELS MOVING NORTH FROM CARIBBEAN DURING SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME WILL DEPICT SE-ELY
WINDS ~10 KNOTS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR NOW...AND WILL HAVE
TO SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOW AS WE MOVE TOWARD THE WEEKEND
BEYOND THIS THE
WIND/SEA FORECAST WILL ALL HINGE ON WHAT HAPPENS TO A TROPICAL
FEATURE DEPICTED BY MODELS MOVING NORTH FROM CARIBBEAN DURING SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME WILL DEPICT SE-ELY
WINDS ~10 KNOTS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY FOR NOW...AND WILL HAVE
TO SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOW AS WE MOVE TOWARD THE WEEKEND
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
From the Mobile AFD
TD2 NO LONGER ANY THREAT TO THE INCREASED SHEAR DISORGANIZING ITS
CIRCULATION. AM NOTING THAT ETA SWINGS THE REMAINING SYSTEM FARTHER
WEST...TAKING IT INTO THE GULF WITH A SWING TOWARDS THE LA
COAST...WHILST THE GFS BENDS IT MORE TOWARDS THE EASTERN FL
COASTLINE.
CIRCULATION. AM NOTING THAT ETA SWINGS THE REMAINING SYSTEM FARTHER
WEST...TAKING IT INTO THE GULF WITH A SWING TOWARDS THE LA
COAST...WHILST THE GFS BENDS IT MORE TOWARDS THE EASTERN FL
COASTLINE.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
GOM developement and Azores High
Potential building for GOM development next with remnants of TD2 and weak front stalling across N GOM.
Additionally Azores ridge to push W allowing CV system to development and move W into Caribbean.
Things may get quite interesting next week.
Additionally Azores ridge to push W allowing CV system to development and move W into Caribbean.
Things may get quite interesting next week.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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