10N 37W Looks Interesting

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abajan
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10N 37W Looks Interesting

#1 Postby abajan » Fri Aug 06, 2004 5:38 am

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG

The latest TWD mentions it in the same paragraph that discusses 92L.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 06, 2004 5:43 am

Agree abajan it looks very interesting down there SE of 92L and that area is the one a couple of days ago had all global models jumping on.
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#3 Postby Tip » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:27 am

I agree and believe this one will be a major player. If it is positioned in the right place when the east coast trough is waning, watch out.
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:53 am

This mornings zoomed visable has and excellent rotation, circulation and inflow in the lower levels with 92L. Limited convection but persistant around the tiny core..Some shear and dry air ahead.. :roll:


The other blob had a decent qscat yesterday..good outflow from the convection and less shear along the ITCZ.. 8-)


http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html
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Needs to be watch in the Islands

#5 Postby KatDaddy » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:50 am

I see signs of rotation and its headed W toward the Caribbean. It will be interesting to see if it becomes better organized today.
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#6 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:54 am

What are we talking about here? 92L? The wave behind it?
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#7 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:59 am

We'll see.....
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#8 Postby Tip » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:04 am

I was talking about the wave underneath 92L. Here's a pic of the two in tandem.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin ... .cgi?vis-e

From this shot, 92L is quite small.
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#9 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:05 am

Hmmmm........
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#10 Postby Aquawind » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:06 am

The Dark Knight wrote:Hmmmm........


lol ya see something interesting there? :lol: 8-)
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#11 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:07 am

Tip wrote:I was talking about the wave underneath 92L. Here's a pic of the two in tandem.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin ... .cgi?vis-e

From this shot, 92L is quite small.


It may be small, but it appears tightly compacted. Does it have an LLC with it?
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#12 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:10 am

Maybe........
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#13 Postby jabber » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:13 am

yoda wrote:
Tip wrote:I was talking about the wave underneath 92L. Here's a pic of the two in tandem.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin ... .cgi?vis-e

From this shot, 92L is quite small.


It may be small, but it appears tightly compacted. Does it have an LLC with it?


Not a perfect LLC but appears to be getting its act togather

http://orbit212.wwb.noaa.gov/storm_at_i ... _at_2.html[/img]
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#14 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:28 am

Reminds me of TS Ernesto in 2000 in terms of structure, potential development and same general area. The system quickly became a TD and TS only to be sheared apart as soon as it got its act together.....or TD 7 in 2002 if conditions remain as unfavorable as they are now. The most I see this developing is a TS and a weak one at that. The only way this (92L) could become a hurricane as SHIPS is forecasting and moves westward north of the islands is for the trough NE of Puerto Rico to close off into an Upper Low and move west. Otherwise, if it stays as the trough-like feature it is, don't expect much development.....
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#15 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:47 am

Hyperstorm wrote:Reminds me of TS Ernesto in 2000 in terms of structure, potential development and same general area. The system quickly became a TD and TS only to be sheared apart as soon as it got its act together.....or TD 7 in 2002 if conditions remain as unfavorable as they are now. The most I see this developing is a TS and a weak one at that. The only way this (92L) could become a hurricane as SHIPS is forecasting and moves westward north of the islands is for the trough NE of Puerto Rico to close off into an Upper Low and move west. Otherwise, if it stays as the trough-like feature it is, don't expect much development.....


Are you referring to the area of interest or 92L?
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#16 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:52 am

Hopefully, SOMETHING will develop out of any of these storms...!!!!
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