Alex Advisories

[HalloweenGale]

where is Extratropical storm ALEX now?

[ColdFront77]

Based on the 5:00 AM Eastern and 11:00 AM Eastern Advisories from the National Hurricane Center
and only on the approximately locations of the center of Alex... the center will be NEAR 48.5°N 27.7°W.

[Brent]

where is Extratropical storm ALEX now?

Approaching Europe.

[HalloweenGale]

good, europe needs a storm :evil:

[ColdFront77]

Based on the 5:00 AM Eastern and 11:00 AM Eastern Advisories from the National Hurricane Center
and only on the approximately locations of the center of Alex... the center will be NEAR 48.5°N 27.7°W.

..............48.5°N 27.7°W is about 810 miles WSW of the southwestern coast of Ireland.

[rainstorm]

alot depends on whether an even more powerful trough hits the gom next week, and that seems likely now. an old front needs time to develop, and it may have very little of that. we need a blocked flow, not a progressive one

Hmmm. Sounds like some ideas to consider here in this excerpt from this afternoon's prelim HPC discussion:

EXPECT UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR TO SURGE SEWD FROM THE NRN PLAINS/MS VLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES TOWARD THE ATLC/GULF COAST STATES BY MIDWEEK. MID LVL DYNAMICS MAY SUPPORT BRIEFLY HVY RNFL ALON THE NRN PART OF THE FRONT BUT PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FEATURE SHOULD KEEP OVERALL AMTS IN THE LGT-MDT RANGE. BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK THE FRONT SHOULD SLOW DOWN OR STALL FROM THE SRN PLAINS THRU THE GULF COAST STATES AND ALONG THE EAST COAST. THE 06Z GFS APPEARS OVERDONE DUE TO FEEDBACK... BUT STILL EXPECT SOME CONVECTION TO TRACK SEWD FROM THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS ALONG/N OF THE WRN PART OF THE SFC FRONT. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SOME ENHANCEMENT OF RNFL ALONG THE EAST COAST DUE TO FRONTAL WAVES... BUT AT THIS TIME WITH LITTLE CONFIDENCE AS TO WHAT EXTENT. 06Z GFS HAS HVY RNFL DUE TO CONTINUATION OF THE FEEDBACK OVER THE SRN PLAINS... WHILE THE 00Z GFS PULLS IN SOME GULF OF MEXICO MSTR ORIGINALLY ASSOC WITH SYSTEM NOW OVER THE CNTRL CARIBBEAN. MANUAL FCST THAT BRINGS THE CARIB SYS TO THE WRN GULF COAST BY DAY 5 WED REFLECTS YESTERDAYS COORDINATED HPC/NHC TRACK... AND STILL SEEMS TO HAVE SOME MERIT GIVEN WWD TREND OF
RECENT GFS RUNS. THUS WOULD PREFER TO DOWNPLAY INFLUENCE OF THIS SYS OVER THE CNTRL/ERN GULF AND SERN/ERN CONUS.

if another front does come down then shear will increase and any low will be pushed well south into mexico. if another front werent diving down i would say development was likely

[The Dark Knight]

ET Storm Alex isn't looking like anything at all anymore......

[Brent]

good, europe needs a storm :evil:

France and Germany especially.

[PTrackerLA]

[The Dark Knight]

....LOL....

[HURAKAN]

¡¡¡I HAVE THE ANSWER!!!

[paulvogel]

i just lloked at the bbc fcst and it sure does look like et alex will slam into the british isles sunday and monday

heavy thundery rain with wind

they dont mention it as the remnants of alex.
and technically it aint..

but they do have palm trees in sw ireland and cornwall

so they can have tropical and extra trop weather

[ncweatherwizard]

good, europe needs a storm :evil:

France and Germany especially.

:cough, cough: If it weren't for France, US wouldn't have come around back in the day... :cough, cough:

Little respect for our European counterparts will you?

Ok..enough of that. End this here before it gets too political.

[HalloweenGale]

i just lloked at the bbc fcst and it sure does look like et alex will slam into the british isles sunday and monday

heavy thundery rain with wind

they dont mention it as the remnants of alex.
and technically it aint..

but they do have palm trees in sw ireland and cornwall

so they can have tropical and extra trop weather

What are you smoking? Ireland is treeless, and so is cornwall.

[BayouVenteux]

What are you smoking? Ireland is treeless, and so is cornwall.

As a former hurricane hunter I thought you would be intimately familiar with the Gulf Stream. The same prolific current of warm water that juices up hurricanes (per Alex earlier this week) also brings mild weather to the southwest portions of Ireland and England (Cornwall). Believe it or not, Cornwall not only has palm trees in abundance, but actually has some pretty decent surfing beaches as well.

[HurricaneBill]

What are you smoking? Ireland is treeless, and so is cornwall.

As a former hurricane hunter I thought you would be intimately familiar with the Gulf Stream. The same prolific current of warm water that juices up hurricanes (per Alex earlier this week) also brings mild weather to the southwest portions of Ireland and England (Cornwall). Believe it or not, Cornwall not only has palm trees in abundance, but actually has some pretty decent surfing beaches as well.

Maybe that is why Hurricane Debbie made landfall on Ireland (as a weak Category 1) in 1961. She must've gotten confused.

BTW, Debbie's the only hurricane to make it to Europe as a hurricane. I think she was beginning to transistion to extratropical but was still a hurricane at landfall.

[senorpepr]

¡¡¡I HAVE THE ANSWER!!!

http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/maps/emtbkna.gif

Ahhh ... I'm glad someone else found the DWD/UBerlin Maps. The chart that Sandy posted was the 36 hour forecast. Here's the current analysis.

[Brent]

good, europe needs a storm :evil:

France and Germany especially.

:cough, cough: If it weren't for France, US wouldn't have come around back in the day... :cough, cough:

Little respect for our European counterparts will you?

Ok..enough of that. End this here before it gets too political.

I was referring to recent things regarding the war in Iraq, not stuff that happened 60 years ago.

[HalloweenGale]

good, europe needs a storm :evil:

France and Germany especially.

Naaahh France only!

[HalloweenGale]

yes I know all about the gulf stream. but ever notice that the only palm trees they have in Cornwall are at a park, or resort? SW Ireland is actually treeless.