A low pressure seems to be developing?

[Matthew5]

The low pressure developing at around 28 north/85.5 west?http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html

[ColdFront77]

Gulf of Mexico Visible Satellite Loop

[Matthew5]

The Quickscat shows a board LLCC forming at around 28 north/86 west? http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages21 ... MBas19.png


This shows the low pressure as 1008 millibars!
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.html

[dixiebreeze]

I've been saying that for several days. Tons of low pressure around the mid and east GOM.

[lilbump3000]

The shear does seems to be relaxing over the system as the thunderstorms are not really being blowed off to the southeast of the center like this morning, instead the storms are now trying to get into the center of the low.

[dixiebreeze]

GOM pressures are falling at most buoys all the way south to the Dry Tortugas.

[Matthew5]

I was looking at buoys in there is 20 to 23 knot winds with this???

[Guest]

I feel a low pressure jsut below my stomach and its heading south. J/K

[Dean4Storms]

Pressure pretty much steady now here in the Panhandle, ours is at 29.88". but steady NE wind near 15-20 mph all day due to the pressure gradient. The last couple of hours have noted a low level cloud deck has moved in from the east and covers much of the beaches southward out over the GOM. If convection persists near that low overnite and especially if it grows and deepens we could see a Alex like development along this frontal boundary over the NE GOM. If something does develop and deepens rapidly it most likely would get drawn northward or eastward. I don't see it moving westward.

[rainstorm]

i doubt it. alex had a much better environment. its going to take a long time

[Stormcenter]

Pressure pretty much steady now here in the Panhandle, ours is at 29.88". but steady NE wind near 15-20 mph all day due to the pressure gradient. The last couple of hours have noted a low level cloud deck has moved in from the east and covers much of the beaches southward out over the GOM. If convection persists near that low overnite and especially if it grows and deepens we could see a Alex like development along this frontal boundary over the NE GOM. If something does develop and deepens rapidly it most likely would get drawn northward or eastward. I don't see it moving westward.

Actually whatever, if anything, develops will move westward based on the Mobile, AL discussion this afternoon.

[BayouVenteux]

...we could see a Alex like development along this frontal boundary over the NE GOM

I don't know about that....yet, anyway. Yes, Alex was bolstered in it's early stages by a lot of baroclinic forcing, as is going at present along the frontal zone as it screeches to a halt against the Caribbean high to the south, but that's fuel...not the fire. The low would need to get going doing the work on it's own as far as the upward forcing and maintaining convection. Persistence is the key (Yeah, that's another phrase I can't stand! ) here. When the warm/cool frontal boundary dissipates, the trough has moved away and IF we're still seeing an area maintaining convection and spin out in the Gulf, then we can start to be concerned.

Easy money says it it doesn't even get a mention in the 5:30 TWO.

[Stormcenter]

...we could see a Alex like development along this frontal boundary over the NE GOM

I don't know about that....yet, anyway. Yes, Alex was bolstered in it's early stages by a lot of baroclinic forcing, as is going at present along the frontal zone as it screeches to a halt against the Caribbean high to the south, but that's fuel...not the fire. The low would need to get going doing the work on it's own as far as the upward forcing and maintaining convection. Persistence is the key (Yeah, that's another phrase I can't stand! ) here. When the warm/cool frontal boundary dissipates, the trough has moved away and IF we're still seeing an area maintaining convection and spin out in the Gulf, then we can start to be concerned.

Easy money says it it doesn't even get a mention in the 5:30 TWO.

You are 100% percent correct my fellow poster. The NHC didn't even mention it at 4:30 CDT it but they will tomorrow, I think.