Finally some action in the GOM

[Stormcenter]

No w it looks like we may finally see some sction
in the GOM with the remanants of TD2 moving it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[lilbump3000]

It should be all the way in there by tonight and tomorrow morning.

[freeport_texas2005]

looks like its moving wnw and going for the texas coast line ....or is it just me? wanting this to happen? lol

[Stormchaser16]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

No reason this shouldnt develop, unless the shear doesnt continue to lighten up like it is now.....the GOM is EXTREMELY warm and should aid in the development of any system moving through. I see ex td2 as becoming a threat in the GOM shortly with development possible.

[Steve H.]

It very well could, but the models show another shortwave rounding the trough with the ridge breaking down. SO it could head NNE, as well as WNW

[lilbump3000]

I say it will head more on a NW track until it start to feel the effects of that next trough coming then it will start a more NNW then N then turn NNE track. I say from the central louisiana coast to the florida panhandle should watch this system closely.

[c5Camille]

anyone seen any forcast charts on
this thing yet? please post...

[Anonymous]

I dont think itll end up anywhere near Florida personally, as the trough will arrive too late in my opinion to recurve it that far. I think itll End up somewhere between Lousiana and the Upper Texas Coast personally.

[HalloweenGale]

Come on BONNIE

[chadtm80]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[lilbump3000]

I wonder if the NHC going to send a recon down there tomorrow if the convection persist down there through the night.

[c5Camille]

hahahaha "if necissary"

[KatDaddy]

This is what Joe B was concerned about on Friday. Developing system with ridge overhead and very warm GOM waters.

[lilbump3000]

Well he might be right, because right now we have a upper high over the system, very warm gulf waters, and convection building every hour.

[bkhusky2]

I have mixed ideas on this system, one part of me says it won't develop at all, but the other part says it'll become something major. If it develops, I see it heading to the LA Coastline, probably just west of New Orleans.

[chadtm80]

Hope they move the floaters soon

[Dan]

The leftovers of TD #2 has survived the task of making it through the shear that took it apart on Friday and Saturday. I think chances are fairly good that we may have something on our hands. One more thing it will have to work against is some dry air in the Western Gulf, but that area should moisten up over time.

The current WNW movement looks like a good trend for the next 24+ hours. As it approaches 90 degrees West Longitude. we may see it slow down and make a more northerly turn. It will, in the end, get picked up by the next trough to hit the East Coast next weekend and send it towards the North Central Gulf Coast. For this storm to be a real threat, it needs to get organized over the next 36 hours or so. The one thing I would keep an eye on is the fact that this system is small in size, like Alex. Smaller storms can intensify quickly once they get organized.

[Rainband]

I think it's funny we don't even have system yet and you all are saying it's coming your way. I don't want anymore rain here in Florida...But at this time the flow looks like it may come here. Like I said wishcast more. I don't want it

[Anonymous]

I dont understand what will steer it into Florida at this point. Its forcasted to keep koving wnw into the Central GOM and at some point make a northern turn. It would basically have to make an about face to slam into Florida from that point.

[Rainband]

I dont understand what will steer it into Florida at this point. Its forcasted to keep koving wnw into the Central GOM and at some point make a northern turn. It would basically have to make an about face to slam into Florida from that point.

What forecast we don't even have a system yet