Bonnie Advisories

[bkhusky2]

No joke, it's taking me forever to load new images.

[Stormchaser16]

Jumping the gun a little too early here, give it TIME, right now there is no surface circulation.... just give it time

[Stormchaser16]

Too much time in between each frame, and too large and broad of a view..... how is this a good view of "potential Bonnie"??????????

[ColdFront77]

If a SW/NE oriented frontal boundary can turn a system to the right, then a W/E boundary certain can.

[HouTXmetro]

The question I have is how would a powerful hurricane interact with a weak front? Let's say the weak front stalls and Bonnie is a monster cane. Which direction will she move? What if the front starts to retreat?

[ColdFront77]

I know you aren't referring to the current situation, but the stationary front across central Florida westward to southeast
Texas moved 70 to 75 miles north in the last couple hours after remaining where I described literally all day.

[Guest]

Oky I said view not frame and time tagging. View, View.....I could provide a much better pic with framing and timing, but I will not because someone will in time.

[Lindaloo]

That is a smaller view to me. lol.

[ColdFront77]

[Guest]

That is a smaller view to me. lol.

technical here. LOL

[HouTXmetro]

I know you aren't referring to the current situation, but the stationary front across central Florida westward to southeast
Texas moved 70 to 75 miles north in the last couple hours after remaining where I described literally all day.

Still doesn't answer my Question. Is there any precedent where a weak front stalled before interacting with a hurricane? In that scenario would the hurricane move along the stalled front or stall itself?

[Anonymous]

The front projected to pick up this system is not the one in the gulf, but the one arriving at the gulf coast Thursday. The one now is too weak to steer the system.

[Kennethb]

I agree. While we are in an early fall pattern, it is still early August.

The models will have a hard time dealing with a trough at this time of the year. Plus the trough will react a little differently than one in late September.

Generally most early August storms go west.

Should be wild next two weeks and beyond.

[Kennethb]

I agree. While we are in an early fall pattern, it is still early August.

The models will have a hard time dealing with a trough at this time of the year. Plus the trough will react a little differently than one in late September.

Generally most early August storms go west.

Should be wild next two weeks and beyond.

[wx247]

The pattern has been more like fall than early to mid August.

[Air Force Met]

Fronts don't stear storms...winds in the mid and upper levels do. The location of the front and its orientation will not matter to this system if it develops. What will matter is how the upper winds will react/change as the front moves south and lowers the upper level heights. Stearing currents in the GOM are pretty weak right now because of the fronts. I don't expect it to do anything anytime soon...its gonna take its time.

[Stormcenter]

I think Bonnie is a done deal. The convection
continues to organize and grow during the evening.


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... itype=irbw

[Anonymous]

Well yes, as the front approaches the winds in the mid and upper levels will change.... So I guess the front would start to affect the storm when it begins to approach the coast rather than when it is actually on the coast.

[wx247]

The tropics are never a done deal.

[rainstorm]

i would still look east of fla......RS