http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/AXNT20.html
Mentions that "tiny systems" like the one in the NW Carib can slip through the cracks and develop, even when the models don't predict anything.
805pm TWD--VERY interesting
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805pm TWD--VERY interesting
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PTrackerLA
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Brent
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CENTRAL AMERICAN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W S OF 18W MOVING W 10-15
KT. THE REMNANT OF TD TWO HAS SPLIT OFF THE WAVE AS A TROF AND
IS LOCATED FROM 20N85W TO 24N84W. A WEAK LOW MAY BE FORMING
NEAR 21N85W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT. RADAR IMAGES FROM CANCUN
CONFIRM THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH ROTATION NOTED IN THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL. SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE IN A LOW SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT AS IT ENTERS THE SE GULF OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL WAVE
IS BRINGING A FEW TSTMS TO CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR THE TROF FROM 20N-23N
BETWEEN 84W-87W.
KT. THE REMNANT OF TD TWO HAS SPLIT OFF THE WAVE AS A TROF AND
IS LOCATED FROM 20N85W TO 24N84W. A WEAK LOW MAY BE FORMING
NEAR 21N85W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT. RADAR IMAGES FROM CANCUN
CONFIRM THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH ROTATION NOTED IN THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL. SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE IN A LOW SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT AS IT ENTERS THE SE GULF OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL WAVE
IS BRINGING A FEW TSTMS TO CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR THE TROF FROM 20N-23N
BETWEEN 84W-87W.
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#neversummer
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PTrackerLA
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BayouVenteux
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Love the appropriate wording from the 8:05 TPC discussion rockyman linked to...
...Discussion...
Gulf of Mexico and W Atlantic...
as the ridiculously deep upper trof (4-5 standard deviations
deeper than average) for early Aug loses amplitude over the NW
atlc...
As we like to say down here..."YEAH, YOU RIGHT!"
...Discussion...
Gulf of Mexico and W Atlantic...
as the ridiculously deep upper trof (4-5 standard deviations
deeper than average) for early Aug loses amplitude over the NW
atlc...
As we like to say down here..."YEAH, YOU RIGHT!"
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
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Air Force Met
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Air Force Met
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