nwhhc disturbance statement

[Derek Ortt]

http://www.nwhhc.com/tds.html

really monitor this system over the next few days

[Sean in New Orleans]

This system looks like it is developing very nicely. I do think it may enter the Gulf of Mexico. If I lived on the Western Coast of Florida I'd be especially concerned about this system. They could be looking at a significant hurricane straight in the eye in the next week. I don't see it affecting any other areas along the Gulf with the major cold front coming through later this week and providing for a glorious weekend for most along the Gulf coast. We are anticipating record lows by Friday for our northern suburbs with temperatures around 57F to 62F for those on the North side of Lake Pontchartrain. Now, if this system slows down some and were to enter the Gulf of Mexico on week Monday or Tuesday, then we could be looking at a different situation for many....

[chadtm80]

Nice Outlook.. Not sure why the NHC dosent seem to concerned with it in there TWO?

[BayouVenteux]

really monitor this system over the next few days

You are right Derek, in your greater concern over this system than the one currently in the SE Gulf. It's a larger, slower developer with a more favorable environment ahead of it to deal with...one question is, can it "run the gauntlet", so to speak, and stay far away enough from the South American continent plus not be steered too close to put it on a collision course with the Greater Antilles?

[Anonymous]

Now IF big IF the NHC finds Bonnie today in the South Gomex, and this storm (93L) becomes Clyde.... I mean Charley.... this could potentially be a 1-2 team effort by Bonnie and Charley (Clyde) On Florida according to models on 91L and later trends on 93L

[Three Blind Mice]

Question?? What effects will the trough have on 93? We see the models showing a turn hard right on 91, any chance 93 could go out to sea?(very wishful thinking on my part) That last model of 99kts on ships wakes me up a little this Monday Morning....

[Anonymous]

Question?? What effects will the trough have on 93? We see the models showing a turn hard right on 91, any chance 93 could go out to sea?(very wishful thinking on my part) That last model of 99kts on ships wakes me up a little this Monday Morning....

IMHO, this system is way too far south to recurve....Better off hoping it weakens due to closeness to South America... But someone else may be better able to give analysis

[Derek Ortt]

I'll add something else, dont totally discount SHIPS which brings this to near major hurricane intensity in 5 days

[Sean in New Orleans]

Looks like we were right on Monday--now we've got a major storm bearing down on Tampa/St. Pete in Charley. I certainly wish all in the metro area the best and stay safe....

[bahamaswx]

We may see quite a few more major hurricanes this year than anticipated.

[Hyperstorm]

The one off the coast of Africa seems to have the best chance of developing right now. T#'s have been given to this system (the one off Africa) and are at 1.0 from both agencies...likely a depression within 24 hours.

It is interesting that you mention about the major hurricanes, bahamaswx. This year could have many more than anticipated...4++