The gulf system is'nt moving NW

[corpusbreeze]

but to the west. I don't know why everybody keeps saying nw. Regardless of the center the system is being pushed west and will be in Mexico in a couple of days. It is moving at a good speed and will miss the front. But people will say " but the models say...." I say people are reading way too much into models. They are wrong most of the time, and are just a small tool in forecasting. Anyhow the system in the E. Caribbean is the one to watch, that baby has almost everything going its way as far as development.

[caneman]

Hmmm, Lets see 11:30 says it is moving WNW and at only 10 mph. Think I'll go with that.

[Nimbus]

Probably 2 degrees west for every one degree north over night.

[Stormcenter]

Hmmm, Lets see 11:30 says it is moving WNW and at only 10 mph. Think I'll go with that.

I think I will too.

[Dean4Storms]

The LLC has remained in the NE corner of the high clouds you see on Sat. imagery. You are seeing the mid to UL part of the system moving off more westward. You can now see the LLC moving out to the edge of convection in the latest imagery as it is moving wnw to almost nw.

[Stormcenter]

but to the west. I don't know why everybody keeps saying nw. Regardless of the center the system is being pushed west and will be in Mexico in a couple of days. It is moving at a good speed and will miss the front. But people will say " but the models say...." I say people are reading way too much into models. They are wrong most of the time, and are just a small tool in forecasting. Anyhow the system in the E. Caribbean is the one to watch, that baby has almost everything going its way as far as development.

Now what did those "mean NHC models" do to you to get you so upset at them?

[Brent]

ALL THE MODELS are unnanimous in turning this NE and landfalling in Florida, anywhere from the Alabama Border to the Peninsula north of Tampa.

[rbaker]

low level circulation is moving wnw according to vis sat pictures.

[Stormcenter]

ALL THE MODELS are unnanimous in turning this NE and landfalling in Florida, anywhere from the Alabama Border to the Peninsula north of Tampa.

Please post all of the models tracks.

[NorthGaWeather]

[rbaker]

I like bam models for weak systems for 91L. However if intensity comes up I can see a turn, but I don't know about a sharp right hand, maybe something in between.

[Brent]

[Dean4Storms]

Can't say that all the models are bringing it eventually NE. I've seen some that take it toward MX. and TX. But, the majority of the tropical models thus far have swung it around and generally toward the NE, which with an approaching strong trough would make sense. We will all have to wait and see, heh?

[Rainband]

Bay News 9 just said we MAY have some tropical moisture on Wednesday!!