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cycloneye
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#41 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:08 pm

I am eating some crow but I agree with Hyperstorm about this system being a major cane IF all conditions are right.
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Rainband

#42 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:09 pm

cycloneye wrote:I am eating some crow but I agree with Hyperstorm about this system being a major cane IF all conditions are right.
watch out TX and LA :eek:
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#43 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:09 pm

Rainband wrote:
cycloneye wrote:I am eating some crow but I agree with Hyperstorm about this system being a major cane IF all conditions are right.
watch out TX and LA :eek:


When was the last time we heard this out of a statment...

The
upper-level environment is expected to remain favorable through the
forecast period
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Rainband

#44 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:11 pm

jlauderdal wrote: When was the last time we heard this out of a statment...

The
upper-level environment is expected to remain favorable through the
forecast period
:eek: :eek:
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#45 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:12 pm

If this forecast holds true and this system gets in the gulf, next week somebody is going to be in trouble.
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Rainband

#46 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:13 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:If this forecast holds true and this system gets in the gulf, next week somebody is going to be in trouble.
I agree :eek: The upper level winds are expected to remain favorable through the forecast period :eek: :eek:
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Derek Ortt

TD 3 updates

#47 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:14 pm

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl032004.html


forecast may be even scarier than this update at 5
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#48 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:14 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:If this forecast holds true and this system gets in the gulf, next week somebody is going to be in trouble.


God forbid! It also looks like it could become a relatively large storm. Again, this is if all conditions are met as they are forecasted to and nothing like a turn toward the SW into the Yucatan (Isidore) and entrainment of dry air (Lili) occurs...
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#49 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:14 pm

I mean we can be dealing with a cat 3 or high because waters are very warm in the gulf. This could be another Lili once it gets in the gulf it rapidly intensify.
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#50 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:14 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Not to alarm anyone, but if this forecast track verifies and UL winds remain as favorable as they are forecast to, we could be looking FOLKS, at the beginnings of a POSSIBLY historic hurricane. Stay tuned...


I can't see it becoming a major hurricane, but why would you say it could be a "historic" storm? Any particular special about it?
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#51 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:15 pm

Wow that forecast path is alarming for the gulf coast. Adding to the fact that we could have a tiny TD reforming in the gulf right now it will be a very busy week around here!
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#52 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:15 pm

SHIPS brings this to 105 mph(Strong Category 2!) on Saturday. Expect the intensity to be raised gradually on the successive advisories. This is EXTREMELY serious if the track verifies!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#53 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:16 pm

:cry: :eek: :(
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Rainband

#54 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:16 pm

I work till 2am. I can't wait to see what I find when I get home :eek: I am beyond Happy that Florida won't have to dela with this potential monster. Not that I am wishing it on anyone else though.
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Re: TD 3 updates

#55 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:17 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:http://www.nwhhc.com/atl032004.html


forecast may be even scarier than this update at 5


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#56 Postby zoeyann » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:17 pm

Absolutly going to be interesting on the gulf coast. I'll be locked onto my computer for awhile
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#57 Postby CajunMama » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:18 pm

Wouldn't the gulf waters be cooled slightly by TD2 like Lili's waters were cooled by Isadore?
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#58 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:19 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
Hyperstorm wrote:Not to alarm anyone, but if this forecast track verifies and UL winds remain as favorable as they are forecast to, we could be looking FOLKS, at the beginnings of a POSSIBLY historic hurricane. Stay tuned...


I can't see it becoming a major hurricane, but why would you say it could be a "historic" storm? Any particular special about it?


The system is expected to remain in a VERY favorable environment throughout the forecast period. We're not talking here about just a "favorable" environment, we're talking business here. Outflow right now is moving at ridiculously fast speeds ahead of the system which enhances chances of development. It also a very LARGE system and IF it moves into the GULF, even as a tropical storm, conditions in the GULF with the water temperatures could cause this to explode.

Now, why did I say possibly historic? Because anything that enters the GULF and strengthens to a potentially major hurricane and strikes land, becomes historic...
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#59 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:19 pm

CajunMama wrote:Wouldn't the gulf waters be cooled slightly by TD2 like Lili's waters were cooled by Isadore?
Issy was a much bigger and powerful storm. I think it took much more heast from the Gulf than the former TD2 will :wink:
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NorthGaWeather

#60 Postby NorthGaWeather » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:20 pm

The Gulf is so warm right now I think it could support another system. TD 2 will be out of the Gulf in 3 days Max....Td 3 will be in their in 5 days.
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