Bonnie Advisories

[BayouVenteux]

Sorry, I just couldn't resist!
That'll most likely be the first of many corny lines associated with that

My Bonnie spins over the ocean,
My Bonnie spins over the sea,
The model ensembles are showing
she'll be curving toward Tallahassee!

[southerngale]

Bonnie is the only hurricane I've been through, in 1986. The eye passed right over my house. It caused a lot of damage around here for a cat.1/borderline cat.2 hurricane. I've been through several tropical storms though.

[The Dark Knight]

I like the corny titles..LOL...

[perk]

I've been watching what is now TS BONNIE all day and i have failed to see any northwest movement.

[The Dark Knight]

I agree....Very good....

[ColdFront77]

Tropical Storm Bonnie turns to the NW, NNW, N, NNE, NE and even ENE CAN take place no matter how far west it gets.

There are a lot of variables as each hour goes by, there can be things that aren't expected occurring with this storm.

[Matthew5]

000
URNT12 KNHC 092154
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/2154Z
B. 23 DEG 06 MIN N
88 DEG 46 MIN W
C. NA
D. 55 KT
E. 168 DEG 010 NM
F. 204 DEG 53 KT
G. 152 DEG 013 NM
H. EXTRAP 1006 MB
I. 22 C/ 322 M
J. 26 C/ 332 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C8
N. 12345/1
O. 1/1 NM
P. AF963 0302A INVEST OB 16
MAX FL WIND 53 KT SE QUAD 2149Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.

[ColdFront77]

I must be missing something, no one in this thread said anything about Bonnie moving northwesterly now.

[Derek Ortt]

2 things about that.

1. It is intensifying. I am surprised about a closed wall, would have thought it would be open

2. The westward motion has nearly ended

[tallywx]

It's still moving more west than north. We saw a 3 min tick to the north and a 9 min tick to the west. That's even west of WNW.

[Brent]

Geez Bonnie. Your looking like you will be one mean girl!

[hurricanefreak1988]

Sorry, I just couldn't resist!
That'll most likely be the first of many corny lines associated with that

My Bonnie spins over the ocean,
My Bonnie spins over the sea,
The model ensembles are showing
she'll be curving toward Tallahassee!

Oh no, what have I started

[southerngale]

I must be missing something, no one in this thread said anything about Bonnie moving northwesterly now.

The NHC said so in their 4pm advisory.
"Bonnie is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph...and this general motion is forecast to continue tonight."

[The Dark Knight]

This is a good thing.....For development that is... Good eye Matthew5....

[ColdFront77]

Right, they must have reason for saying that.

[Sean in New Orleans]

This storm is exploding right now....man, this could be a hurricane in no time...

[Air Force Met]

Right, they must have reason for saying that.

That's how they initialized it. It is obviously not right. The vortex fixes show a 285 motion....as does the radar in cancun and the vis satellite loop.

[Derecho]

All the "Bonnie lies over" stuff stopped being funny about 5 seconds after the 54th newspaper headline using it for Hurricane Bonnie in 1998.

Now, if Charley can just get retired this year and replaced with "Clyde" then you've got something.

[ColdFront77]

Yup.

[stormchazer]

Bonnie will have to make a sharp turn to let anyone on the North Gulf Coast off the hook. This is the fun part folks.