Center developing further

[stormernie]

The center of TD 3 seems to have reorganized or really taken shape a little further north. We will probably see this in the next advisory along with it being classified as a storm.

I truly believe with that with the developing pattern that we may see this potential "BIG" storm making a house calls to the Keys or even South Florida. Potentially it could take a track that familiar with Donna, or up the east coast.

We will see changes in upcoming forecast track and we are more of a pattern that is seem in October than in August.

As always comments welcome.

Ernie

[vbhoutex]

Unfortunately for Florida, that is what I am seeing at this time. Obviously that could change, but I am becoming concerned that it could indeed be similar to Donna in track which could devastate SW, and W central Fl. if the expected strengths being talked about verify. Way too far out to know for sure at this time, but beginning to look like a possibility with the strange weather pattern we are having and TS Bonnie out ahead of it to help weaken the ridge.

[Steve H.]

Ernie, that is the kiss of death for Florida if you want to experience storm conditions. The storm deflector shield over Florida just went up (similar to the cone of silence)

[The Dark Knight]

If a shield is going up over Florida, another area somewhere has a higher chance of a landfall.... Mother Nature...

[BayouVenteux]

...and we are more of a pattern that is seem in October than in August.

For now anyway. There are some signs beginning to show up in the extended models that in the longer range, a change may be in the offing with regard to the Bermuda High and the CONUS trough amplification we've seen the last month or so.

[Dave C]

Buoy north of Bonnie starting to respond with pressure falls and wind increases.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... tion=42001

[Brent]

Yep... I posted about this earlier this hour. You can clearly see the center. Looks like Charley is about to be born.