Bonnie Advisories

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cycloneye
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#1221 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:43 pm

nystate wrote:Nothing at all. :lol:


Well you are well north of the action. :)
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10pm Bonnie---50 mph winds

#1222 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:43 pm

HAS SLOWED DOWN DRAMATICALLY!!!

Tropical Storm Bonnie Advisory Number 8

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on August 09, 2004

...Bonnie moves slowly northwestward over southern Gulf of Mexico...

At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was
located near latitude 23.4 north...longitude 89.2 west or about
390 miles south of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

Bonnie is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph and a gradual turn
toward the north is expected during the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph... 85 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.

Bonnie is rather small and tropical storm force winds extend outward
up to only 30 miles...45 km from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve
unit reconnaissance aircraft is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

Interests in the northcentral and northeastern Gulf of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Bonnie over the next few days.

Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...23.4 N... 89.2 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 6 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 50 mph. Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
4 am CDT.
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#1223 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:44 pm

Hey Redder ol dale n is more concerned of the next one.
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Link

#1224 Postby rjgator » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:45 pm

What is the link that you can get this before they post it on the main NHC site.
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#1225 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:45 pm

The key there is the slow movement that may allow it to get stronger in those verywarm waters.
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#1226 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:46 pm

corpusbreeze wrote:Hey Redder ol dale n is more concerned of the next one.





corpusbreeze i can still see this thing heading west when I wake tomorrow and old Dale will be having a coniption fit.

he is so dramatic LOL
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#1227 Postby therock1811 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:47 pm

As am I, but yet they're still covering it...but no effects here in KY...
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#1228 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:51 pm

cycloneye wrote:The key there is the slow movement that may allow it to get stronger in those verywarm waters.


Exactly one of the problems that happened with Alex.
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#1229 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:52 pm

but I have to say he's been here so long that I do respect the man.
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#1230 Postby soonertwister » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:54 pm

I'm a bit surprised to see that the T-numbers for Bonnie are still fairly low. Seems like they should be 2.5+ by now.

It's quite a contrast between tiny Bonnie and sprawling TD3, but I did notice that a huge chunk of convection has recently been shed on the north side of 3. Maybe lean and mean is the Carib/GOM model for this year...
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Re: Link

#1231 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:56 pm

rjgator wrote:What is the link that you can get this before they post it on the main NHC site.


http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... ublic.html Bonnie

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... ublic.html TD 3
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Bonnie is a small storm

#1232 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:01 pm

but there was a smaller hurricane than Bonnie a few years ago that was upgraded from wave to hurricane just west of the Windwards. The plane went in and found a very small closed center and hurricane force winds. I remember looking at sat loops and could not believe the NHC was calling this small speck a cane. It died out a day later, but does anybody remember this storm? I forgot the name and year.
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#1233 Postby OtherHD » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:06 pm

The only storm within the last 10 years that I can think of that went straight from nothing to hurricane was Noel. It did die out a day later (Extratropical) but it wasnt exactly west of the windwards. Maybe you were dreaming. :)
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#1234 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:07 pm

Yeah I value his opinion too.
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#1235 Postby HurricaneQueen » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:09 pm

Not to worry in SW Fl. about Bonnie. She's heading to nothern FL. Charley (to be) is another story and we'll need to be concerned near the end of the week as he may make the same right hand turn after clearing Cuba. He should be a storm in the morning if not already. NBC-2 out of Ft. Myers.
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#1236 Postby southerngale » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:10 pm

corpusbreeze wrote:Hey Redder ol dale n is more concerned of the next one.


Really? I thought that one was supposed to curve towards Florida as well.
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#1237 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:11 pm

No I was not dreaming, and I don't know why Bonnie made me think of it either. But Bonnie could be a Bret,small and compact but Very strong. Look out Florida.
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#1238 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Aug 09, 2004 10:18 pm

Hey Florida cant have all the fun.
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Little Bitty Bonnie..

#1239 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 09, 2004 11:54 pm

What a tiny storm. Bonnie looks to be nicely centered tonight with strong convection all around the center. I still seeing the storm moving at the W/NW motion...I'm hoping the storm takes that turn soon. I'm counting on the NHC's predictions to come true...for one thing, I have outdoor plans for this weekend that involve a local river on the Northshore of New Orleans. 8-) We don't need any rising rivers this weekend or the plans will have to change.
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#1240 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 09, 2004 11:57 pm

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