The 12Z GFS model takes a weaker system right into south Florida in 72 hours (Charley)...much like the hyper-aggressive GFDL model.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... v_072m.gif
The NOAA jet should clear some of this up tonight.
MW
12Z GFS...Weaker SFL System
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12Z GFS...Weaker SFL System
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