two questions on the intensity of Charley

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Rieyeuxs
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two questions on the intensity of Charley

#1 Postby Rieyeuxs » Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:13 am

For those who know more than I do, I've got a couple of questions...

1) Given that Bonnie wil pass over Florida first, is there time for the atmosphere to dry out before Charley comes through? My question is more of how much Charley will downgrade if it's passing through areas that Bonnie has already juiced up? Will that effect the intensity or help Charley maintain its identity longer?

2) If, and yes I realize it's an if, Charley passes completly over the Florida pennisula, how much of an opportunity would Charley have of re-intensifying itself over the Atlantic before making landfall again? Would the saturated atmosphere from Bonnie help hold it together as a hurricane? If so, what catagory might we be looking at?
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Aug 12, 2004 4:02 am

Bonnie itself won't disrupt the atmosphere and won't disrupt the waters either ... Bonnie is still a disorganized system this morning and looking more and more like an extratropical cyclone.

Charley won't be traversing waters that Bonnie did (in which haven't been disrupted at all due to its small size). Charley is expected to pick up forward speed and accelerate some going thru Florida and through the GA/SC Coastline ... but IMHO, the track will be probably slightly left, which I believe we'll see the center of Charley pass just west of Charleston ....

It boils down to just how strong Charley becomes before it makes landfall and how much landmass it crosses to determine just how strong the system is by the time it reaches SC ... Florida itself is fairly flat and has both the GOM and ATL for the feeder bands to fuel off of, so weakening seems to occur a tad slower since TC's sometimes can still draw in a ton of moisture of the waters ...

SF
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