What do you think of this?

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Matthew5

What do you think of this?

#1 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 2:52 am

The system at 10 north/31 west seems to have formed a large area of convection. Might be the next tropical cyclone? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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WeatherNole
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Hmmm...

#2 Postby WeatherNole » Thu Aug 12, 2004 3:07 am

I don't know about the western one, but the one coming off of Africa looks juicy! (So it'll fizzle in about 12 hours :) )

The 0Z run of the GFS does show a nice active pattern setting is.
Here's the 84 hour fcst just for fun:



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Mike

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bahamaswx
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#3 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Aug 12, 2004 3:07 am

Quite possible. I'm more impressed with the wave moving off the COA behind it though. Nice banding features surrounding a central, circular area of very deep convection. Now its just got to keep up that convection after moving off the coast and we'll have something here.

Low shear environment coupled with warm SST's and lots of moist air... I'd be surprised if at least one of them don't develop.
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#4 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 3:21 am

Both systems look good for development.
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#5 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 12, 2004 3:26 am

If the model verifies the second one looks especially good for development as it has a low associated with it.
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