Charley Advisories

[Brent]

Cuba will NOT weaken this storm more than 5-10 mph. It will have no trouble recovering over the GOM.

[Miss Mary]

PS - I'm seeing double and triple posts today? Just a glitch perhaps? Anyone else noticing this?

I think it's because the server is soooo busy and everyone is posting. When we hit "submit," the new page is slow to load and some of us are tempted to hit "submit" a second (or third) time -- thus making duplicates and triplicates.

Aha, that makes sense to me now Duck. So you're saying if someone was rather impatient today and perhaps wanted to get a specific point across, they could keep hitting that send button? LOL I'll hit it only once.....

Mary

[SunnyThoughts]

Strong cat 3

[Pebbles]

Was a quick snag with the boards a bit ago..might also explain the duplicate posts..as they have seems to stop *winks*

[bahamaswx]

Cuba shouldn't even weaken it; just disrupt any further intensification for a few hours.

[Guest]

How about windshear once it gets into the Gulf. Unless it turns NE ?

[Guest]

You will find that M -- Who is really someone else from wwbb -- does this alot. he takes very reasonable discussions points twists them around then says " what did I do?"

Then he disappears for a while and comes up with a new personality.

If I knew asking questions would result in a moderator requesting that we move on, I would have not asked the questions in the first place.

Think about it before you make assumptions such as this. The response was made wrt you and DT starting to fight about anything except the original subject which was where could Charley go. There is not a moderator on this site that will say that just because you asked a question. Did you notice the thread came back on subject after the bickering stopped? We always ENCOURAGE questions being asked as long as they pertain to the subject matter at hand and not you said/I said about something other than the original subject.

[Guest]

All you did was prove me right.... TPC did shifts its track to west central Fl... Like I suggested YESTERDAY.


I was 100% right and you were not .

If I knew asking questions would result in a moderator requesting that we move on, I would have not asked the questions in the first place.

Think about it before you make assumptions such as this. The response was made wrt you and DT starting to fight about anything except the original subject which was where could Charley go. There is not a moderator on this site that will say that just because you asked a question. Did you notice the thread came back on subject after the bickering stopped? We always ENCOURAGE questions being asked as long as they pertain to the subject matter at hand and not you said/I said about something other than the original subject.

Nonsense!

I asked questions pertaining to the original topic and stuck to those questions. Although the original poster called me a liar, I still continued to stick to the original topic.

As this site continues to gain in popularity (which it will...it is very well done)...you will find more and more professionals lurking. Perhaps even some from NHC. And maybe now and then, some of these professionals will ask legitimate questions that just may just cause defensive responses from some.

M

[Agua]

A GUESS only, I only have personal experience with these things to base it on as I am not a met and never took the first course in it either.

but strong Cat 2 to possibly a strong cat 3 ... maybe even a 4.

[Air Force Met]

I'm still sticking with 125...which was my original prediction....and I'm still sticking with the same place: B/W Cedar Key and Tampa. Probably closer to Tampa.

[Thunder44]

Cat 3 or 4 - 125 to 135mph winds

[Janie34]

I agree with the mods. This is a very serious situation. A tropical cyclone is nothing to play with, and a storm of Charley's intensity and potential is going to wreak major havoc.

I can nearly guarantee that there are lurkers or a few posters about who will read something on this board and think it is official product....despite the disclaimers. Hopefully not many, but thats the nature of the beast. People who aren't mets or wx enthusiasts are going to be looking for more detailed information and I think it would be wise to use some caution here. Isn't there a way to change the title of the thread?

[Pebbles]

May this thread die a peaceful death !!! *digs a hole, inserts the thread and covers it up with a final forcefull patdown of dirt with her shovel*

[Valkhorn]

Looks like Charley may be a disaster waiting to happen. From the looks of it it will cross Cuba at it's narrowest point.

My concern is that there may not be a best case scenario for Charley. If it hits above Tampa Bay, it'll have more time to strengthen, and will put Tampa on the East side of an already dangerous storm.

If it goes south of Tampa Bay, perhaps as far south as Marco Island, it'll not be as bad for Tampa, but it would be able to cross Florida and be closer to the Eastern Seaboard, perhaps even back across the Gulf Stream for a short period of time. This would be bad because it would leave the hurricane off the coast for minimal weakening, but leave it close enough to the coast to rake it - sort of like what Alex did.

I wonder how this will pan out, but I am very afraid there is no 'best-case' scenario with this storm.

[Josephine96]

I don't think there's a best case either...

[Stephanie]

The original poster can change the title or a mod or admin. I'm not going to change it because unless the poster allows me to do so.

HOWEVER, I think we need to make sure how we word our posts in our haste to post new information. Personally, I think that the topic title should've started as "I don't think Charley will hit Tampa".

[adelphi_sky]

Hey. I live in the DC area and was wondering how strong will it be when it reaches the DC area. I know it won't be a hurricane, but when Isadore came calling last year as a TS, we got our butts kicked. Mainly because this area doesn't see TS. NC is usually our front line of defense for knocking hurricanes down to TS or depressions. With just 50mph winds, DC was a wreck. But what makes this year interesting is that Bonnie will saturate the ground, then comes Charlie wich is a little stronger. So I'm thinking we may have trees down all over the place.

[ncweatherwizard]

With the increase in intensity before expected, could be a little stronger than that.

[Josephine96]

Thanks for the update NC.. watching it like a hawk here in Central Florida

[cycloneye]

Be safe all the folks who live in the watch and warning areas and I hope that you are already preparing and dont do it at the last minute.