Charley Advisories
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- cycloneye
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Steve Lyons=Landfall around southcentral West Florida
That is what Steve Lyons about landfall area said a short time ago and he said it will make landfall as a cat 3 120 mph.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Re: need a map with warnings posted
birdwomn wrote:Does anyone have a map with the new 5pm wanrings & watches posted?
Thanks much!
this map will be updated soon to reflect the 5pm advisory, includes the track.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 21453W.gif
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#neversummer
- Skywatch_NC
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Charley
NHC has put kind of the same track for their 5 PM update...but I was just wondering what all of you thought on the track of Charley. Because now I'm kind of hoping I feel at least the rain from it.
Thanks!
Thanks!
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Re: Is it a wobble or is Charlie moving NNW now?
MGC wrote:Sure looks to be on a NNW heading now. This only increases the risk to Key West, Sanibel and Ft Myers.......MGC
Well actually, just about all of the models at this time frame show him moving NNW. So he is supposed to be moving NNW. Matter of fact, even the western most models, Nogaps, GFDL show him moving just about due north by the time he reaches Cuba. Only exception is the UK which has him still moving between NNW and due north after Cuba. So this is no suprise. The REAL turning point IMO will be which direction he will be moving after passing over Cuba. IF he is still moving NNW or even between north and NNW, this should increase the threat somewhat to the upper peninsula of Florida over toward Apalachee Bay. personally, i still think somewhere between the
Apalachee Bay and Pasco county (just north of Tampa)will be the point of landfall, then NNE from there. Dixie and Levy counties are right in the middle of my landfall area. (a shade to the west of the current nhc track). but even a temperory wobble of this storm in one direction or another after it passes cuba could effect the point of landfall dramatically so still way up in the air imo. but overall i think charley is pretty much on track with current guidance.
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- The Dark Knight
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- The Dark Knight
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- Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
- Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
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Charley's eye almost over southern cuba...
http://www.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p3 ... kbyx.shtml
It is very visible..
It is very visible..
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Aquawind wrote:I have been so busy preparing and helping others..I have hardly had a chance to watch this unfold today..Dang it's still gonna be close and now a Major...
NHC parallels it to the Florida West Coast painstakingly close all day tomorrow until finally bringing it in about 40-50 miles north of Tampa.
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#neversummer
can I call them or what..
Re: A question
quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Originally posted by Colin
I'm hoping that this area gets missed by Charley...and it looks like it may. Latest models are indicating it to go offshore and move NE from there - at least some models show that. So what are the chances now for it missing most of the NE?
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reverse pyschology at it's finest .

Re: A question
quote:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Originally posted by Colin
I'm hoping that this area gets missed by Charley...and it looks like it may. Latest models are indicating it to go offshore and move NE from there - at least some models show that. So what are the chances now for it missing most of the NE?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
reverse pyschology at it's finest .
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New Charley VORTEX, only down 1 MB since last recon...
479
URNT12 KNHC 122059
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/2059Z
B. 21 DEG 07 MIN N
82 DEG 01 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2915 M
D. 35 KT
E. 228 DEG 019 NM
F. 313 DEG 62 KT
G. 224 DEG 006 NM
H. 979 MB
I. 11 C/ 3060 M
J. 17 C/ 3054 M
K. 9 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 4 NM
P. AF984 0703A CHARLEY OB 09
MAX FL WIND 62 KT SW QUAD 2057Z. EYE WALL IS 100%, BUT SOME
WEAKNESS ENE THROUGH SE.
URNT12 KNHC 122059
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/2059Z
B. 21 DEG 07 MIN N
82 DEG 01 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2915 M
D. 35 KT
E. 228 DEG 019 NM
F. 313 DEG 62 KT
G. 224 DEG 006 NM
H. 979 MB
I. 11 C/ 3060 M
J. 17 C/ 3054 M
K. 9 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 4 NM
P. AF984 0703A CHARLEY OB 09
MAX FL WIND 62 KT SW QUAD 2057Z. EYE WALL IS 100%, BUT SOME
WEAKNESS ENE THROUGH SE.
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