Vortex......Eye Elongated and Open.

Wnghs2007 · #1 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:17 pm

URNT12 KNHC 122148
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/2148Z
B. 21 DEG 18 MIN N
82 DEG 07 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2909 M
D. 45 KT
E. 304 DEG 017 NM
F. 020 DEG 80 KT
G. 285 DEG 007 NM
H. 978 MB
I. 10 C/ 3076 M
J. 18 C/ 3068 M
K. 9 C/ NA
L. OPEN W
M. ELONGATED SW-NE
N. 12345/7
O. 0.1/ 4 NM
P. AF984 0703A CHARLEY OB 14
MAX FL WIND 82 KT NE QUAD 2104Z. EYE 15NM WIDE, 20NM LONG.

Anonymous · #2 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:18 pm

Charley is growing again?

Hurricane Cheese · #3 Postby **Hurricane Cheese** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:24 pm

Pressure is down again, to 978 mb

Stormsfury · #4 Postby **Stormsfury** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:26 pm

No ...

The eye is elongating (no longer circular) and tilted SW-NE ... not a good sign for a developing storm (although, some good news for leveling off the strength and keeping that in check) ...

Furthermore, the eyewall is open W quadrant which also indicates that it's losing some steam and some weakening probably occurred (although, it just may be temporary)

SF

kevin · #5 Postby **kevin** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:27 pm

vortex about an elongated eye, and they talk about a millibar 'drop' is pressure. Classic. =)

rainstorm · #6 Postby **rainstorm** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:29 pm

definitlly some good news for florida. i also wonder if a weaker cane would move more west?

Anonymous · #7 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:30 pm

Doesn't look weaker here: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/04_ ... _full.html

kevin · #8 Postby **kevin** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:31 pm

definitlly some good news for florida. i also wonder if a weaker cane would move more west?<<

You are so silly me thinks.

rainstorm · #9 Postby **rainstorm** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:33 pm

you want it to be strong?

kevin · #10 Postby **kevin** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:35 pm

No, but I won't talk out my butt about it.

'definetely some good news for Florida'

Oh really, yes. We can all relax now. Rainstorm thinks the storm is no doubt falling to pieces and will hit Texas.

NJCane · #11 Postby **NJCane** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:36 pm

The storm is completing an eyewall replacement

The Dark Knight · #12 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:37 pm

LOL....

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:39 pm

Lasik surgery time for Charley.

Website · #14 Postby **Brent** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:40 pm

NJCane wrote:The storm is completing an eyewall replacement

That explains it.

kevin · #15 Postby **kevin** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:40 pm

I don't know about eyewall replacement cycles... so I'll wait for a professional to describe it (or not) as such.

#16 Postby **Mattie** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:43 pm

Here's a link for you Kevin:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D8.html

Guest · #17 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:45 pm

General NW heading, and the eye has disappeared for a time. THe outflow is perfect, warm water, i think an eye wall replacement cycle could be the possible answer. especially with the huge cloud tops blowing up round the center in the last few visible shots...

kevin · #18 Postby **kevin** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:46 pm

Oh, I know what it means, I just don't know how to identify it based on all the data. Thanks for the link though. =) You'll also notice in one of the first lines on that link folks, these things only happen only with very intense hurricanes. This ain't one, till someone professional says then

weatherFrEaK · #19 Postby **weatherFrEaK** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:47 pm

The storm is completing an eyewall replacement

Ding! And we have a winner!!!

kevin · #20 Postby **kevin** » Thu Aug 12, 2004 5:48 pm

Still waiting for someone who I can believe...

Vortex......Eye Elongated and Open.

Vortex......Eye Elongated and Open.

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