Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1

Website · #1 Postby **Brent** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:37 am

Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1

Statement as of 11:00 am AST on August 13, 2004

...Tropical Depression Four develops in the far eastern Atlantic...

at 11 am AST...1500z...the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 12.2 north...longitude 22.7 west or
about 275 miles... 445 km...south-southeast of the Cape Verde
Islands.

The depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph...22 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours

maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph... 55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...
and the depression could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb...29.80 inches.

Repeating the 11 am AST position...12.2 N... 22.7 W. Movement
toward...west near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1009 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 5 PM AST.

Forecaster Stewart

Stormchaser16 · #2 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:38 am

Wooooo hooooo a TRUE CV storm

#3 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:40 am

FISH. (Hard for a organized system to make it all that way across the Atlantic).

Stormchaser16 · #4 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:42 am

O yea, climo and common sense says nothing but a big fish

Guest · #5 Postby **Guest** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:43 am

If I remember correctly AFM. You called charlie a fish too, as well as Bonnie. Hmmm, maybe I am wrong, and if so, then I am sorry, but I think I am right..

Stormchaser16 · #6 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:44 am

Bonnie was forecast to be a fish AFTER she got close to the islands, but then it became a pparent that because of the weakening it would move further west......

Charlie im not sure....

But take a look at climo and anyone with 1/4 of a brain can tell this ones a fish

#7 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:45 am

alxfamlaw wrote:If I remember correctly AFM. You called charlie a fish too, as well as Bonnie. Hmmm, maybe I am wrong, and if so, then I am sorry, but I think I am right..

Uhh...I think you better do a search on my name in the forum...do some research and then offer a retraction. I never said anything like that and I challenge you to find where I did.

hurricanefreak1988 · #8 Postby **hurricanefreak1988** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:46 am

AND THE LEAD IS CUT TO 2!!! 6-4 BABY!!!

#9 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:47 am

Matter of fact...if you go back and look at all my posts...you will see I have been pretty close on Bonnie and Charley both...with the exception of Bonnie's intensity...which I missed because I did not anticipate her being extratropical when she moved inland (which she was in transition).

Guest · #10 Postby **Guest** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 9:53 am

Uhh, no retraction will be forthcoming. My statement above is sufficient for what you are asking for. I know you know how to read, so you better read again. I am not going to repeat myself nor retract or dedact any of my statements. If you wish to call names and anger yourself for no reason go ahead. And stormchaser, if what you said is calling me stupid, then you better think again. Six years of college and completion of 1st year of MBA school dictates my brain is fully functional and maybe your the one that does that is not working on full capacity.

wxcsi · #11 Postby **wxcsi** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:05 am

Air Force Met wrote:Matter of fact...if you go back and look at all my posts...you will see I have been pretty close on Bonnie and Charley both...with the exception of Bonnie's intensity...which I missed because I did not anticipate her being extratropical when she moved inland (which she was in transition).

As someone who knows a little bit about the weather, your posts are highly regarded and educational.

This comes from someone who has a few years of higher education too :-)

M

#12 Postby **alicia-w** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:08 am

Maybe everyone ought to cut back on the offensive (and defensive) comments for a bit. Take a deep breath and count to 10. No one's perfect, everyone makes mistakes. And no one here knows everything about everything.

Guest · #13 Postby **Guest** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:14 am

Alicia exactly. I think my statements above speaks for itself. Res ipsa loquitor.

#14 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:15 am

¿¿FISH?? Be careful Northern Lesser Antilles.

-------------------------------OR---------------------------

AGAIN?!

#15 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:15 am

alxfamlaw wrote:Uhh, no retraction will be forthcoming. My statement above is sufficient for what you are asking for. I know you know how to read, so you better read again. I am not going to repeat myself nor retract or dedact any of my statements. If you wish to call names and anger yourself for no reason go ahead. And stormchaser, if what you said is calling me stupid, then you better think again. Six years of college and completion of 1st year of MBA school dictates my brain is fully functional and maybe your the one that does that is not working on full capacity.

Well...I don't think you need to wave education credentials around here...especially to someone who has a 2 masters degrees (M.Div> and Th.M) and a TH.D.

I did not call you stupid...I simply stated that you are wrong...and that a simple search through the archives (which is real easy to do) will prove that you are wrong...and I say that because you said "I think I'm right."

You are not...and I am meerly pointing that out. Normally...someone who made a false statement would have no problem with what I said...so what's yours? Doa search and say "well...I was wrong."

I guess making a statement...and then slipping a sorry if I am wrong but I think I am right...is good enough for you.
Enjoy.

#16 Postby **Trader Ron** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:21 am

I think FISH also..

Guest · #17 Postby **Guest** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:23 am

AFM, its the whay you said and the tone it was carried in. You have a bad habit from the posts I have read of yours to be very arrogant, even though you do not mean to. It is just the way you right it. I don't have a problem with arrogance and I don't have a problem saying sorry, BUT I will not say it when I read posts like yours. SORRY...

#18 Postby **msbee** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:23 am

Please please be a fish and go North of the islands

hurricanefreak1988 · #19 Postby **hurricanefreak1988** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:24 am

Well if Danielle lets us down, Earl might make up for it!

11:30 AM TWO wrote:SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION TO OCCUR...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATER TODAY OR ON SATURDAY. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE SYSTEM FOR
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

THAT'S RIGHT!! The lead could be cut to just ONE this evening! The Atlantic is on a ROLL baby!!!

#20 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:28 am

alxfamlaw wrote:AFM, its the whay you said and the tone it was carried in. You have a bad habit from the posts I have read of yours to be very arrogant, even though you do not mean to. It is just the way you right it. I don't have a problem with arrogance and I don't have a problem saying sorry, BUT I will not say it when I read posts like yours. SORRY...

I really think you are thinking of someone else. And...there is no tone. I am simply pointing out that I did not say that.

You obviously have me confused with someone else. Again...go back and read my posts and tell me where I was arrogant. Please...point it out to me. I am direct. When I see someone people making a statement that is not based in fact I point that out...like the north movement thing last night...which was proved to be just a jog because it moved back to the NNW.

If you have a problem with that you are too sensative. I have always tried to educate. This is my job (weather)...not a hobby.

Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1

Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1

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