12:00 Model plots for TD#5

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cycloneye
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12:00 Model plots for TD#5

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:07 am

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE (AL052004) ON 20040814 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040814 1200 040815 0000 040815 1200 040816 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 10.1N 51.3W 11.2N 54.3W 12.4N 57.5W 13.5N 60.8W
BAMM 10.1N 51.3W 11.1N 54.5W 12.3N 57.9W 13.6N 61.3W
A98E 10.1N 51.3W 11.2N 55.1W 12.1N 58.7W 13.2N 62.0W
LBAR 10.1N 51.3W 11.2N 55.0W 12.2N 58.8W 13.2N 62.7W
SHIP 30KTS 38KTS 47KTS 55KTS
DSHP 30KTS 38KTS 47KTS 55KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040816 1200 040817 1200 040818 1200 040819 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.6N 64.0W 16.3N 69.7W 17.8N 74.3W 19.5N 78.0W
BAMM 14.5N 64.6W 16.1N 70.6W 17.7N 75.8W 19.7N 80.1W
A98E 14.0N 65.1W 15.9N 70.7W 17.7N 75.6W 20.4N 80.0W
LBAR 14.1N 66.6W 15.7N 73.1W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 64KTS 75KTS 84KTS 88KTS
DSHP 64KTS 75KTS 70KTS 74KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.1N LONCUR = 51.3W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 20KT
LATM12 = 9.2N LONM12 = 47.4W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 = 19KT
LATM24 = 8.6N LONM24 = 43.6W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM
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#2 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:37 am

Graphic is here and notice that some models are showing a slightly more northwest turn south of Cuba putting it in the same general location as Charley was.... Haven't we had enough in Florida and the US in general?

Image
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#3 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:48 am

This track looks eerily familiar, but indications are that future Hurricane Earl maybe more of a North Gulf Coast problem.
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#4 Postby ~SirCane » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:56 am

That's what scares me, Dean. :eek:
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#5 Postby Kennethb » Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:05 am

There's plenty of time to monitor TD 5 and its track.

No need to panic. Just stay tuned and be prepared.
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