NWS Discussions you don't wish to see after experiencing...

[Bane]

3 storms in 2 weeks.

From the NWS Wilmington, NC:

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
HIGH PRES WILL INFLUENCE THE REGION AT THE SFC WITH WEAK ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. A FEW WEAK SHORT WAVES
WILL PASS OVERHEAD AND MAY HELP ENHANCE ANY STORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP...BUT FIGURE DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP WILL BE VERY LIMITED.
AFTN SEA BREEZES MAY HELP FIRE OFF SOME STORMS...BUT BEST MOISTURE
AND DYNAMICS WILL REMAIN JUST N OF THE REGION.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY IS WHEN THE FORECAST GETS INTERESTING.
SFC LOW IN THE W GREAT LAKES REGION MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FRI
NIGHT WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE REGION SAT.

BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROF DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL US NEXT WEEKEND
WILL BE THE MAIN FACTOR AS TO WHERE TROPICAL STORM EARL GOES. IF
TROF REMAINS WEAK AND FLAT...EARL WOULD TEND TO TRACK NW ACROSS THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SHOULD TROF BECOME SHARPER...EARL COULD TAKE A TRACK
MORE TO THE NE...SIMILAR TO CHARLEY.

This would end up being a nightmare situation for not only those Florida residents hit hardest by Charley, but also for thos ein North carolina that have experienced up to 12 inches of rain from Bonnie, Charley, and a surface low today. Saturated grounds and hurricanes never mix.

[wx247]

Thanks for sharing this discussion. It is something to watch, but at least now the residents of Florida can concentrate on putting their lives back together.

[Guest]

yikes....

[HURAKAN]

Also, Thanks for sharing the discussion, I think everyone is hoping and praying that Earl will go to Mexico or Central America. We are starting to see that the hurricane season was not what it showed at the beginning of the season, which is most of the type typical. Five tropical systems have developed from which 4 have impacted/affected land. Something that makes me worry is that the hurricane season peak is still a month from now.

[Brent]

Reminds me of 1999 when Dennis, Floyd, and a weakened Irene hit the Carolinas.

[PurdueWx80]

Hoping and praying a storm will hit another country is kind of selfish if you ask me. There are still people who live in central America and Mexico, and their lives are no less valuable than ours. Just wanted to make sure you realized that.

[wx247]

Hoping and praying a storm will hit another country is kind of selfish if you ask me. There are still people who live in central America and Mexico, and their lives are no less valuable than theirs. Just wanted to make sure you realized that.

I don't believe that is us wanting to hit them as much as it is not wanting it to hit us. Seriously... I would be a much happier person if all hurricanes were fish storms, but unfortunately that is not the case.

[Bane]

Reminds me of 1999 when Dennis, Floyd, and a weakened Irene hit the Carolinas.

I remember those quite well. Irene was a glancing blow to us in southeastern NC, but if I recall correctly, she was intensifying as she passed us.

[Rainband]

I hope this storm doesn't take a track close to Charley

[stormchazer]

I had already talked myself into thinking FL was safe from Earl.

Excuse me while I return to my positive utterences...

"FL is safe friom Earl.
FL is safe friom Earl.
FL is safe friom Earl."

[Tommedic]

I don't think many people understand the problems that the Cape Fear region is facing with all this rain. I KNOW NOT LIKE FLORIDA, but many are still without power from this weak system. We have been lucky, but still there has been an effect. At least many here are experienced.