estelle forecast #4... close to south point

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Derek Ortt

estelle forecast #4... close to south point

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 20, 2004 9:06 pm

http://www.nwhhc.com/epac072004forecast.html

want to see the overnight trends before making any significant adjustments to the north. I no longer believe the southward solution as this is definately not a shallow storm anymore
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#2 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 20, 2004 9:36 pm

Oh no! theyve had enough disaster in Hawaii, with the volcanoes and whatnot. Hopefully their spared!
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CaluWxBill
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#3 Postby CaluWxBill » Sat Aug 21, 2004 1:13 am

Figured I'd pass this along. This is the Wind profile in knots of Tropical Storm Estelle, initialized 18z Aug 20.

Image
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#4 Postby MWatkins » Sat Aug 21, 2004 1:18 am

Great image aluWxBill...good stuff. Not to give away any trade secrets...but where'd you get that profile from?

MW
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Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack
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#5 Postby CaluWxBill » Sat Aug 21, 2004 1:24 am

MWatkins wrote:Great image aluWxBill...good stuff. Not to give away any trade secrets...but where'd you get that profile from?

MW


The server didn't explicitly acknowledge the model name, but I am pretty sure it is the GFDL initialization. I got it from a public access data server.

ftp://ftpprd.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/hur/prod/

I ran GrADS to analyze the data
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#6 Postby Cyclone Runner » Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:36 am

JTWC has just made a correction on Estelle:

Image


However, it stills seems to be staying south of Hawaii.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator

http://www.afap.org/apcedi
http://www.afap.org/
http://www.birdquest.net/
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#7 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Aug 21, 2004 7:16 am

Well at least it won't get too strong (I hope).
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