New east atlantic wave=Will it be Frances?

[PurdueWx80]

Man, I'm telling you. It's been a very mild summer, and the weather this past week has felt like September. You get the feeling that we may be in for a rough winter?

Shhh...

I'm hoping last winter was the rough winter. I'm not ready to face another 2 feet of snow in front of my garage.

whispers to mike....My early analogs suggest there COULD be a major Midwest "event" of sorts this winter--in addition to lots of cold.

How about something like the Cleveland super bomb...pretty please. We haven't had a good storm go up west of the mountains in a few years. By the way, what definition are you using for Midwest here?

[Derecho]

This wave looks a lot like Danielle did as she came off the coast. Has a well defined and high-amplitude wave with it. There is an even more impressive wave over the continent. I don't have a link at the moment...sorry.

Danielle never lost all of its deep convection, I think, like this wave did.

Also the Danielle wave had a clear LLC even before it exited the coast.

Based on the relatively poor QS shot, it may just be a very clear Mid-level circ on this wave at the moment.

The second it redevelops some convection it will probably get an INVEST.

[senorpepr]

whispers to mike....My early analogs suggest there COULD be a major Midwest "event" of sorts this winter--in addition to lots of cold.

What did I say -- Shhh!

lol

oh well it's what I get after having descent, but cloudy, winters in Germany.

[PurdueWx80]

This wave looks a lot like Danielle did as she came off the coast. Has a well defined and high-amplitude wave with it. There is an even more impressive wave over the continent. I don't have a link at the moment...sorry.

Danielle never lost all of its deep convection, I think, like this wave did.

Also the Danielle wave had a clear LLC even before it exited the coast.

Based on the relatively poor QS shot, it may just be a very clear Mid-level circ on this wave at the moment.

The second it redevelops some convection it will probably get an INVEST.

I was mostly referring to the banded nature of the clouds and the size. I don't remember for sure how much deep convection Danielle had, but I think you're right. Haven't seen the QS yet.

[Renata]

There seems to be suggestions in every quarter of potential development of this wave but at the same time, if it does develop it seems likely to curve outward to sea ... just like Danielle.