Not Buying 96L Recurvature Package

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#21 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:53 pm

flyingphish wrote:Survey Says..No Recurvature ! Why are there so few arguments for the most probable outcome. Never have been able to figure that one out. Sort'a like selling low and buying high...Must be some gratification in being wrong most of the time. Put your money on a fish storm I say.


What is your argument for a fish storm?
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
Three Blind Mice
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 202
Joined: Thu Jul 29, 2004 9:28 am
Location: Wrightsville Beach, NC

#22 Postby Three Blind Mice » Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:58 pm

Last model runs show trend to the west from earlier runs. Lots of time to watch this one.
0 likes   

flyingphish
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:35 pm

#23 Postby flyingphish » Mon Aug 23, 2004 11:02 pm

Hear ya Smokin..Grew up in Indialantic . Is "First Peak" still holding up at the Inlet? Great world in the late seventies. Hear it is a zoo now. Surf on ! Best storms we had on the EC would run about 100-400 miles offshore. Slow movers and many times just tropical storms. The "Canes" would always move too fast. Just a few hours of optimal surf and too much wind change. Groundswell always better..eh? A good slow mover to the East with offshore windage! Ahoooooo!!!
0 likes   

MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:

#24 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 23, 2004 11:11 pm

Check out the latest meteosat closeup....man...starting to wrap up...and no...that's not an eye. Yet.

Image

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

Guest

#25 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 23, 2004 11:13 pm

Kind of a far ride down to Sebastian Phishman. It has changed here. I have lived here almost 30yrs Traffic is alot worse and the roads are the same. Good night you all next wk could turn out really interesting. Notice the typhoon is now turning WSW into China. ! G
0 likes   

flyingphish
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:35 pm

Why a Phish To VB HouTex.

#26 Postby flyingphish » Mon Aug 23, 2004 11:31 pm

Strong System I think. More Prone to recurve based on this alone. Some weakness in the Ridge and a long way from home. And then there is "Ah it burns ".. Climatology. Plus..I did stay at a Met Express Inn last night. Hope you have a sense of humor. I do..and you have a better football team! Dolphins in serious trouble. Farewell this season.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#27 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Aug 24, 2004 12:53 am

Even this late I have a sense of humor. I figured that might be the thinking as far as fish or not. I always like to question those that "go against the grain" only to keep them honest. :D

And if you are talking the Texans-we will see. Last game wasn't too exciting on our end at least.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5444
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#28 Postby Nimbus » Tue Aug 24, 2004 5:15 am

The ULL feature that was forecast to steer this monster is currently rolling west. Hard to say what the upper level environment will look like in a few days but some of the models should get a handle on it soon.
0 likes   

Matthew5

#29 Postby Matthew5 » Tue Aug 24, 2004 5:21 am

Looking at the system over night it appears to becoming alot better organized. With some what of a clear center forming. I expect a tropical depression by 5pm. In also it seems to be forming on the southern quad kind of a "saw" look! :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
jabber
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 688
Joined: Mon Mar 24, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC (former Boynton Beach, Fl)

#30 Postby jabber » Tue Aug 24, 2004 5:33 am

Wow what a change in 12 hours... dam sleep
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 427 guests