SEC DEVELOPMENT??

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hurricanedude
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SEC DEVELOPMENT??

#1 Postby hurricanedude » Tue Aug 24, 2004 3:11 pm

FOR THE EXPERTS:
Whats the chances of the mess off the SEC developing...and if it does...what is the likely track?
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#2 Postby hurricanedude » Tue Aug 24, 2004 3:28 pm

??????
I didnt mean "experts" as in Professional mets, I kinda meant anyone's input...
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#3 Postby hurricanedude » Tue Aug 24, 2004 4:16 pm

I guess the 530 PM TWO answers my question since no one in here will...LOL
TWO doesnt even mention it so i guess slim and none is my answer...thanks for all the support in here...GEEESH..LOL
Just kiddin~
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PurdueWx80
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#4 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Aug 24, 2004 4:19 pm

There are already several other posts on this matter. That's why I haven't said anything here. sorry.
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rainstorm

#5 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 24, 2004 4:42 pm

development likely, but it will head ne
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Guest

#6 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 24, 2004 4:46 pm

rainstorm wrote:development likely, but it will head ne


depending on which model strikes your fancy... I do not agree with NE..is there a model which says NE movement?
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#7 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Aug 24, 2004 4:49 pm

Most of what I have seen shows stationary or very slow and erratic motion. If anything, I could see slow movement towards the S or SW.
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#8 Postby obxhurricane » Tue Aug 24, 2004 5:28 pm

I'm not so sure that development could be considered "likely" either.
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#9 Postby Dan » Tue Aug 24, 2004 6:15 pm

some local weather people here in the carolinas predict that the disturbed weather off the coast could pull back inland and increase rain chacnes for the carolinas starting thursday and into the weekend. reguardless, movement will not be that fast.
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#10 Postby hurricanedude » Tue Aug 24, 2004 7:06 pm

An old frontal boundary is stalled off the southeast coast of the U.S. The water is warm; it is possible that an area of low pressure will try to form along this boundary over the next couple of days. Development like this often takes a few days. Computer models show no development. However, model output often has a very difficult time detecting and forecasting a system like this. Even if there is no important development this system could bring heavy rainfall to coastal sections of the Carolinas into northeast Florida Thursday and Friday.

this is a snippet off accuwx's free site!
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rbaker

#11 Postby rbaker » Tue Aug 24, 2004 8:59 pm

Lyons on twc said that there was one low way off shore moving out ne and had plenty of shear. But that another low possible closer to se coast, where shear is near nill. He said it might move back towards coast tommorrow creating more rain for ne fla, ga and carolinas.
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rainstorm

#12 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 24, 2004 9:15 pm

as long as it doesnt rain here
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