I'm begaining to see possible rapid Organizion!

[Matthew5]

Over the last hour or so, the system has went from a egg shape like Cirulation. With the convection moving around it. Which this egg like cirulation is the broad cirulation of the system. Which is why derek ortt calls this a monsoon depression meaning its low level cirulation is broad. A few hours a go this system lost alot of its convection. But over the last hour or so it has formed(I think)A much tigher cirulation around 11.5 north or right in the middle of the new cluster of convection forming tonight. Reasons that I think there is a tight cirulation is because the convection is moving around much fast in that area then it did when it had to go around the larger egg like cirlaiton. Something else to note is what looks like it is forming a southern feeder band with almost perfect outflow. If this keeps going the way it looks this thing is going to bomb like you can not believe.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

[rainstorm]

lets hope it doesnt get too strong

[abajan]

My guess is that it will eventually become another major hurricane but it will be a fish.

Will be interesting to see what actually happens.

[rbaker]

to early to call a fish esp. when models are back further west already. We will know when it gets to 50-55w long.

[Guest]

im thinking it becomes a major, and it doesn't become a fish, at least at this point. But like rbaker says, we should wait till it gets to about 50w till we know for sure whether itll be a fishy or not.

[flyingphish]

Agree Abajun. Unfortunately, my roof top and several plants were damaged by Charley. But not my Acerola! (Bajun Cherry Tree) Still standing proud and loaded with fruit. Farewell for the remainder!

[Rainband]

Stronger cane means poleward!! Usually

[Thunder44]

I don't think it's rapidly organizing, but only gradually so, as has been since it came off the African coast. I've seen systems organize much faster than this one.

[Doc Seminole]

Our insurance premiums are all begging for a fish here.

[vbhoutex]

Stronger cane means poleward!! Usually

If there is a weakness in the ridge to its' North especially. We will see if this actually happens. Some models are backing away from the trough digging as far as thought and thus the ridge may not have as much of a weakness for the now TD#6 to exploit.

[mf_dolphin]

Matthew see storms bombing out more than usual TD 6 has become better organized but without a crystal ball calling for it to bomb out at this point is just a guess backed by no facts I see.

[LaBreeze]

Here fishy, fishy! Frances the fish.

[Matthew5]

I did not really mean that this is bombing right now. But it is getting better organized with time with the outflow in almost every quad of the system. The system looks pretty good at this moment. We will see what happens as time go on. Don't have to take it out on me I'm sorry if I took the word bomb out of the meaning.

[abajan]

My guess is that it will eventually become another major hurricane but it will be a fish...

I've changed my mind - this is no fish! It's going to hit somewhere really bad .

IMO people living anywhere from the Leeward Islands to Cape Hatteras need to watch Frances and be prepared just in case she comes a callin'.

[mobilebay]

Good Morning Abajan. Judging from most of the Computer models the Gulf could also be under the gun. I'm not being a Homer, thats just what I see.

[jlauderdal]

My guess is that it will eventually become another major hurricane but it will be a fish.

Will be interesting to see what actually happens.

It will be a fish based on which feature?

[southerngale]

jlauderdal...look up a few posts. He changed his mind. The first post was written several days ago.

[jlauderdal]

jlauderdal...look up a few posts. He changed his mind. The first post was written several days ago.

No flip flopping on this board..LOL.

[HurricaneGirl]

Big time rapid intensification occured overnight!

[Trader Ron]

If Frances intensifies now, i doubt it will as strong IF it hits the U.S.