Now- here is the 6Z GFDL....

[hurricanetrack]

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 11.3 37.3 280./15.9
6 11.3 38.1 269./ 8.0
12 11.6 39.0 287./ 9.6
18 12.1 40.4 292./14.9
24 12.3 42.3 277./18.0
30 13.0 42.9 317./ 9.2
36 13.4 43.8 294./10.0
42 13.9 44.8 300./10.3
48 14.5 45.8 296./11.6
54 14.9 46.5 303./ 8.0
60 15.4 47.2 302./ 8.5
66 15.8 47.6 319./ 5.9
72 16.4 48.3 308./ 8.3
78 16.9 48.9 311./ 7.7
84 17.5 49.5 319./ 8.3
90 17.9 49.9 312./ 6.3
96 18.4 50.6 306./ 8.0
102 18.9 51.2 311./ 7.4
108 19.4 51.8 310./ 7.1
114 19.8 52.3 304./ 6.8
120 20.1 53.2 290./ 8.4
126 20.6 53.9 307./ 8.8

Never brings "Frances" north of 21....

This is certainly interesting.

[KatDaddy]

Hey there Mark. Thanks for sharing the great storm chasing video and again glad you guys were safe.

Ah the new GFDL is quite interesting after seeing the latest GFS run. It will be interesting to see if other models trend more W later today.

[vbhoutex]

If more models continue to trend further West I will begin to become more concerned, but even the TWD on TD#6 calls for the system to be well N of the islands in 5 days. The GFS obviously thinks that the future Frances will miss the weakness expected in the ridge, but I will reserve judgement on whether we in Texas need to worry till I see other models joining this camp. Obviously our Island friends need to keep monitoring the system in case she doesn't turn.

[Rainband]

Way too early to tell but if charley was any indication of what could happen... he was a wakeup call to be ready!! Like I said I wouldn't worry in Texas yet. You all are the furthest west. I just hope it doesn't hit anywhere in Florida we don't need anymore storms for a while. Our local said we all have plenty of time to watch it, if it does threaten the US

[Derecho]

Keep in mind the 06Z GFDL is based off the 0Z GFS, not the 06Z GFS, run.

[Rainband]

Keep in mind the 06Z GFDL is based off the 0Z GFS, not the 06Z GFS, run.

Didn't know that thanks