nw turn occuring?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
rbaker

nw turn occuring?

#1 Postby rbaker » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:19 am

looks like the nw turn is starting to occur, judging by the last few sat loops. Anyone else see this? Will have to wait to see if this is just a wobble or trend. :?:
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#2 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:20 am

yeah, it looks like its starting to turn.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:21 am

so what does it all mean if it makes a turn to the nw?
0 likes   
Top
rbaker

#4 Postby rbaker » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:24 am

that's it's starting to feel that weakness in the sub tropical ridge, and westerlies well to its north. So maybe the ukmet and nogaps are forecasting better than gfs.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#5 Postby Aquawind » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:26 am

Well it does look like it's got more north component than yesterday..Turn or Wobble is yet to be determined for sure..but yeah it looks like more than 285 alrighty..
Last edited by Aquawind on Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:32 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38263
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#6 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:30 am

I see it too:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Last couple of frames. I can also see a faint eye now.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:31 am

Maybe Frances can see lol
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#8 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:32 am

Yeah, the last three frames look like NW to me. That's only an hour and a half, though, so I'm not ready to call it anything but a wobble for now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TS Zack
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 925
Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2004 6:23 pm
Location: Louisiana
Contact:
Contact TS Zack

#9 Postby TS Zack » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:32 am

Still to early to tell if it is a movement or a wobble. I would say just looks like it wrapping more maybe just a wobble.
Last edited by TS Zack on Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:33 am

Could be just a wobble.. she's been headed due west for the time being..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:
Contact Trader Ron

#11 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:35 am

Lets hope Frances goes Poleward. Here Fishy,Fishy.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanemike
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 197
Joined: Wed Feb 25, 2004 11:33 pm
Location: Jacksonville,FL Beaches/Duval County
Contact:
Contact hurricanemike

#12 Postby hurricanemike » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:39 am

WAKE UP!!! It aint turning. That was a wooble. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#13 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:39 am

Here Fishy Fishy lol... sorry.. just felt like repeating
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#14 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:43 am

W or WNW means it still obviously has more of a west movement
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanemike
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 197
Joined: Wed Feb 25, 2004 11:33 pm
Location: Jacksonville,FL Beaches/Duval County
Contact:
Contact hurricanemike

#15 Postby hurricanemike » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:44 am

its still W'ly track and @ 11 am, it was 290º (WNW), therefore not a change in the track.
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#16 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:44 am

it looks wnw/nw now
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:
Contact Trader Ron

#17 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:46 am

To watch every wobble and jog so far out is fruitless. The trend is your friend..:)
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#18 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:47 am

So it's still moving westward somewhat evidently lol
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#19 Postby Rainband » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:47 am

Our local Met, the channel that told us Charley was turning said it is forecast to turn back to the west at the end of the forecast "We need to watch it" is what he said . I hope it is turning and becoming fish food :wink:
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#20 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 11:47 am

We shall see Johnathan..
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 349 guests