CMC model now more westerly

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mobilebay
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CMC model now more westerly

#1 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:32 am

The 00z CMC is following the GFS with an even more westward track. It actually takes Frances into Eastern Cuba at 144 Hours. The new Ukmet will be out within a few minutes. Can't wait to see if it shifts further south and west.
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Re: CMC model now more westerly

#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:34 am

mobilebay wrote:The 00z CMC is following the GFS with an even more westward track. It actually takes Frances into Eastern Cuba at 144 Hours. The new Ukmet will be out within a few minutes. Can't wait to see if it shifts further south and west.


The 0Z CMC (GEM) goes out to 240 hours. Check out this link and see where it goes after Cuba. Very interesting and scary. Check out my post about this in the "00z GFS" thread. http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/gemglb_amer_00_panel.gif
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Re: CMC model now more westerly

#3 Postby ericinmia » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:34 am

mobilebay wrote:The 00z CMC is following the GFS with an even more westward track. It actually takes Frances into Eastern Cuba at 144 Hours. The new Ukmet will be out within a few minutes. Can't wait to see if it shifts further south and west.


Thats interesting.

I wonder how many times in history a system has crossed from the south-west atlantic into the carribean and into the gulf of mexico.
Can't be very many times.

-Eric
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Re: CMC model now more westerly

#4 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:40 am

PurdueWx80 wrote:
mobilebay wrote:The 00z CMC is following the GFS with an even more westward track. It actually takes Frances into Eastern Cuba at 144 Hours. The new Ukmet will be out within a few minutes. Can't wait to see if it shifts further south and west.


The 0Z CMC (GEM) goes out to 240 hours. Check out this link and see where it goes after Cuba. Very interesting and scary. Check out my post about this in the "00z GFS" thread. http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/gemglb_amer_00_panel.gif



WOW!!!!!!! now that is scary!!! Poor Florida! :eek:
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#5 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:44 am

The new Ukmet does bring it a Tad more westerly. Near 24N and 69W in 120 Hours. It appears to be moving a little North of Due West, at the end of the run.
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#6 Postby PurdueWx80 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:46 am

mobilebay wrote:The new Ukmet does bring it a Tad more westerly. Near 24N and 69W in 120 Hours. It appears to be moving a little North of Due West, at the end of the run.


Do you have a link?
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Matthew5

#7 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:46 am

I seen that! I'm waiting on the T numbers to come in when should that happne?
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:52 am

PurdueWx80 wrote:
mobilebay wrote:The new Ukmet does bring it a Tad more westerly. Near 24N and 69W in 120 Hours. It appears to be moving a little North of Due West, at the end of the run.


Do you have a link?


Sorry. http://www.met-office.gov.uk/sec2/sec2c ... wtnt80.txt
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Matthew5

#9 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:05 am

The Jma is not closing this system off in is moving it more west! http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/jma ... =Animation
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