post your Possible US landfalls for Frances..

[Rainband]

I love it Eric

[rainydaze]

I say anywhere between the Florida Straits up to about Jupiter, Florida.

[frankthetank]

your going to need the gods of recurvature for the to happen!

I say Palm Beach...like the San Felipe Hurricane of 1928...

[Air Force Met]

My guess...just a guess because it is way to early to even give an informed opinion...b/w the Cape and the SC/GA border....this could be JAX's storm...it's the right synoptic situation for it...now its just a matter of timing.

[Guest]

I say SE Fla ends it Sept hurricane drought that goes back 39 years with a landfall in............Ft.Lauderdale.

& unfortunately it hits Ft.lauderdale & exits in Ft.Meyers.

[ilmc172pilot]

SC NC area

[Brent]

Between the Keys and Charleston.

[x-y-no]

Palm Beach +/- a hundred miles.

[Lowpressure]

My guess...just a guess because it is way to early to even give an informed opinion...b/w the Cape and the SC/GA border....this could be JAX's storm...it's the right synoptic situation for it...now its just a matter of timing.

I lived ther for over 20 years (in Jax) and saw many close calls. The last direct hit there was Dora 1964 at around 120mph. Trust me when I say that the city and especially the beaches there are not prepared for a major hurricane, there have been so many close calls most residents in the area do not think it can happen to them. You are corrct in the synoptic situation are similar. They are also similar to Isabel, with Henri near the Carolinas last year.

[Josephine96]

Good 1 eric

[Lowpressure]

I am saying Cape Fear.

[Aquawind]

I would say Jim Cantore got the monkey off his back..He was on Sanibel Island and got booted with the rest of the residents..Captiva Island which is nearly connected to Sanibel got Blasted so bad it's now 2 islands..Jim was just smart this time and got off the Island...

[LCfromFL]

My guess...just a guess because it is way to early to even give an informed opinion...b/w the Cape and the SC/GA border....this could be JAX's storm...it's the right synoptic situation for it...now its just a matter of timing.

Uhm....AFM, please lean further north....or even south. JAX doesn't need this monster (which I'm thinking it will be eventually). Too many people in Jax are complacent about storms - especially ones from the Atlantic. They somehow think that the shape of the coastline - and the fact that Jax is tucked well inside that curve - somehow 'saves' us. Folks around here think storms either go well south or head up to the Carolinas - and we're safe. Thinking like that could prove sadly wrong for many folks.

[Rainband]

Uhm....AFM, please lean further north....or even south. JAX doesn't need this monster (which I'm thinking it will be eventually). Too many people in Jax are complacent about storms - especially ones from the Atlantic. They somehow think that the shape of the coastline - and the fact that Jax is tucked well inside that curve - somehow 'saves' us. Folks around here think storms either go well south or head up to the Carolinas - and we're safe. Thinking like that could prove sadly wrong for many folks.

Unfortunately many people are still complacent in this area, especially after Charley missed us so to speak. Hopefully whoever has to deal with frances takes it seriously There should be more certainty with the track as the days go by and hopefully people satrt paying attention. I know I will

[Josephine96]

Pins and needles here as I've been saying lol It'll be a long weekend.. but Monday morning It'll be interesting to see what the local mets are saying by then