New 12z GFS loop, continues, just north of islands track...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
ericinmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1573
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 11:15 pm
Location: Miami Lakes, FL

New 12z GFS loop, continues, just north of islands track...

#1 Postby ericinmia » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:10 pm

The 12z GFS loop contiunes the model the same track we have seen from the gfs for over 24 hours now. Just north of the islands.

Interestingly toward the end of the loop. It shows two storms emerging and forming near africa, and it shows the storms 'Dancing' until one rips the other apart. lol it was fun to watch!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

-Eric
0 likes   

Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#2 Postby Steve H. » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:14 pm

Interesting that the 12Z GFS puts Frances across Cuba and makes landfall in NE TX :eek: Shows various other storms in the Atlantic.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:16 pm

Frances in Texas? nah.. lol :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#4 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:16 pm

"two storms dancing..untill one rips the other apart"

Sounds like a boxing match :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
mitchell
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 438
Joined: Wed Mar 19, 2003 8:22 am
Location: Delaware
Contact:

#5 Postby mitchell » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:18 pm

yeah it develops a hell ova fish out of that second CV storm doesn't it!
0 likes   

Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:18 pm

Sounds like a.. ok we won't go there right now :lol:
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:18 pm

Interesting. At the latter part of the loop it looks very similar to the path that Georges took in 98' but just a tad bit further south.

<RICKY>
0 likes   

User avatar
Skywatch_NC
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10949
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 9:31 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:

#8 Postby Skywatch_NC » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:19 pm

HOW! :D Me name is Two Storms Dancing! :)

Eric
0 likes   

Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:21 pm

LOL.. We're all regular comedians today aren't we
0 likes   

Guest

#10 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 27, 2004 1:21 pm

Its not the fact that it gets her to TX but the fact that it wants to build a ridge strong enough to drive her that far west.

But this will change again. :roll:
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Like Allen

#11 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Aug 27, 2004 2:01 pm

MIA_canetrakker wrote:Its not the fact that it gets her to TX but the fact that it wants to build a ridge strong enough to drive her that far west.

But this will change again. :roll:


Like the ridge that kept Allen heading westward.
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

#12 Postby Portastorm » Fri Aug 27, 2004 2:11 pm

{full body shiver] --- Allen? Ugh, don't mention Allen. That was a downright scary storm.

:roll:
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

IMO

#13 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Aug 27, 2004 2:25 pm

Portastorm wrote:{full body shiver] --- Allen? Ugh, don't mention Allen. That was a downright scary storm.

:roll:


In my opinion Allen was the ultimate hurricane when it comes to combined size and strength. The storm basically was 500 miles is diameter!!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

#14 Postby Portastorm » Fri Aug 27, 2004 2:30 pm

Yup Stormcenter, Allen was a real monster!

And to think it went from a Cat-5 to Cat-3 ... thank goodness!!
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5444
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#15 Postby Nimbus » Fri Aug 27, 2004 2:31 pm

Wonder if Frances will let us know she is getting ready to turn west? The aviation model predicts a classic little swing to the north (usually accompanied by a stall in forward motion) just before the westward swing. A couple extra degrees of north latitude before the turn to the west would make a lot of difference to the northern islands.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 271 guests