Uh oh... TD 7 getting it together....

[dixiebreeze]

Or at least it certainly appears that way in the latest IR:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

[Hurricanehink]

Uh-oh is right. It could easily be Gaston by tonight.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

SH*T...I hate things like this sneeking up on ya.......

[Tip]

I just checked the buoys in the area and their all reporting a drop in pressure.

[LAwxrgal]

Guys we're all watching Frances (and for good reason) and Gaston is sneaking under our noses. Will Gaston influence Frances' path?

[adelphi_sky]

It's sitting right over the gulf stream. Could we see a minimal cat 1? Or is is projected to hit the coast in less than 36 hours? If it has 48 hours to grow could one say that it may be a minimal cat 1?

[PurdueWx80]

SH*T...I hate things like this sneeking up on ya.......

Some people in here have been talking about it for almost a week.

Anyway pressures along the coast and the buoys are showing drops that are more than what would typically be associated with daytime heating. The satellite presentation tells me this thing could pop pretty quick. There is excellent anti-cyclonic flow above the surface low, so all it would take for a TS to form is a blowup of convection tonight. Waters are certainly warm enough for a hurricane, but the proximity to land may prevent that. Long-range radar from Charleston also shows a tightening low level center. The biggest problem I see right now is major flooding along the coastal plain and eventually up into the mountains as it moves north slowly next week. If Frances gets in there too, the ground will have been primed for catastrophic flooding. Something else to think about - with a saturated ground, it doesn't take a strong hurricane to uproot a lot of trees.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

SH*T...I hate things like this sneeking up on ya.......

Some people in here have been talking about it for almost a week.

Anyway pressures along the coast and the buoys are showing drops that are more than what would typically be associated with daytime heating. The satellite presentation tells me this thing could pop pretty quick. There is excellent anti-cyclonic flow above the surface low, so all it would take for a TS to form is a blowup of convection tonight. Waters are certainly warm enough for a hurricane, but the proximity to land may prevent that. Long-range radar from Charleston also shows a tightening low level center. The biggest problem I see right now is major flooding along the coastal plain and eventually up into the mountains as it moves north slowly next week. If Frances gets in there too, the ground will have been primed for catastrophic flooding. Something else to think about - with a saturated ground, it doesn't take a strong hurricane to uproot a lot of trees.

Yeah, I know we have been talking about it but I was not that concerned with it, kinda thought it would just drift off..........

[Trader Ron]

I would worry about Frances, not Gaston.

[dhweather]

SH*T...I hate things like this sneeking up on ya.......

At least it won't have much time to intensify.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

yeah, i am thinking it will just be a big rain maker

[TLHR]

Funny, earlier today I was talking about how Savannah rarely gets a tropical storm... Now look!

PS: If you click on my signature, something cool happens....

[canegrl04]

Gaston is a short term storm.Its so close to the coast,once that ridge takes over,Gaston will be immediately pushed to land.I don't really see it having an affect on Frances' path. For everyone outside of the Carolina's Frances is the one to keep an eye on .

[Skywatch_NC]

Gaston is a short term storm.Its so close to the coast,once that ridge takes over,Gaston will be immediately pushed to land.I don't really see it having an affect on Frances' path. For everyone outside of the Carolina's Frances is the one to keep an eye on .

The Carolinas obviously need to monitor Frances, too.

[PurdueWx80]

I really think this storm is going to become Gaston very rapidly. The visible shot has a very well formed circulation, better than many TDs. Also, the inner core of the circulation is spinning quite rapidly, and there have been some gusts over 30 kts along the SC coast (in showers and storms) over the last hour. I don't think this will get as strong as Alex, but I can say with relatively certainty that Gaston will be born by 11 p.m. tonight.

[joseph01]

It's amazing how quickly this happened.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

[PTrackerLA]

This will be the 4th storm that has affected the Carolina's this month. What a place to live in you like tropical activity.

[huricanwatcher]

Hey PT... i trade with ya... come live in eastern nc and see if you like it!!! hahaha :D:D