Post Here What Local Mets Are Saying About Frances...

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NCWeatherChic
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#21 Postby NCWeatherChic » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:08 am

Local mets here not too concerned. All they say is it is too far out right now..yada yada yada...will keep an eye on it....East Coast should track storm and should know more by next Tuesday. I certainly hope they would know more by then..gessshhh!
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#22 Postby adelphi_sky » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:32 am

ericinmia wrote:In Miami:

WSVN: "Bill Kamal"
Great intesification probable. Kept reiterating that storm was VERY far away, about 1.5 to 2 weeks. Strangely didn't explain anything about its track other than showing the official track.


WPLG: "Don Noe"
Good looking storm, going to head north westerly, and then turning wnw to west on Monday... Showed their version of the track... which was a little more northly than that of NHC?

That is about it for now...

-Eric



Heyyyyyyyyy. How's good ole Bill kamal? He used to be up here in Washington DC at Channel 9. He MUST have grey hair by now as I used to watch him when I was in High School 13 years ago. He was gaining weight too before he left.
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#23 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:37 am

HeatherAKC wrote:From NBC-6 Miami this morning. Don't know the forecaster as I was listening to the TV broadcast on the radio.

The met said we should keep our eyes on Frances but that he expects a trough to save South Florida once again.

OK.


If this was Lonnie Quinn and I suspect it was he is the same guy that said Key West would have a a 36 hour Hurricane Watch during Charlie. I would like to see what trough on what model run he is talking about.
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#24 Postby bjacobs99 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:39 am

TENSE DAYS AHEAD AS WE WATCH FRANCES
The NHC is forecasting Frances to be on a more westward track now. The official foreacst keeps the hurricane north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico- but this could certainly change. Beyond five days, it appears that Frances could be a threat to the Bahamas and possibly the United States. The NHC is not saying that, nor is it my forecast, this is based on information from the operational GFS global computer model. It clearly shows Frances heading westward and towards land areas. As things evolve, we will get a clearer picture of where the hurricane is headed. As far as intensity goes, the NHC forecast calls for a 120 mph hurricane (category 3). Remember that intensity forecasts are the hardest to call with today's technology. There is plenty of warm water along the path of Frances. As we have seen, anything can happen- so let's pay close attention to this hurricane now. I'll have another update here around 11am EDT.

this is a statement from Mark at hurricanetrack.com
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#25 Postby HeatherAKC » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:39 am

Exactly jlaud.I didn't want to rag on the man, but what crack is he smoking? And what model is he looking at? Now that you mention it....

=)
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#26 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:40 am

adelphi_sky wrote:
ericinmia wrote:In Miami:

WSVN: "Bill Kamal"
Great intesification probable. Kept reiterating that storm was VERY far away, about 1.5 to 2 weeks. Strangely didn't explain anything about its track other than showing the official track.


WPLG: "Don Noe"
Good looking storm, going to head north westerly, and then turning wnw to west on Monday... Showed their version of the track... which was a little more northly than that of NHC?

That is about it for now...

-Eric



Heyyyyyyyyy. How's good ole Bill kamal? He used to be up here in Washington DC at Channel 9. He MUST have grey hair by now as I used to watch him when I was in High School 13 years ago. He was gaining weight too before he left.

Queen Kamal as Neil Rogers on WQAM calls him is doing just fine. He probably would have grey but we certainly aren;t seeing it, get my drift. One other thing, he had a bit of a problem awhile back in his car on A1A in Fort Lauderdale driving home one night after a few too many...seems the office of the law saw him driving outside the lines and he was hit with his second DUI. Nonetheless he does a good job and him and Steadham do the best job on tropical activity.
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#27 Postby Roxy » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:42 am

Houston guys are mentioning it, but indicating they think it will go north. It's almost like they don't want to talk about anything else, it might come true.

I noticed that last night, I think they are all weenies. sorry guys. ;)
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#28 Postby Rocketman » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:44 am

Our local mets are regarded as a joke, and I find myself defending the senior met from time to time......no one here is getting worked up yet. That could change depending on Frances' behavior this week.
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#29 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:51 am

Rocketman wrote:Our local mets are regarded as a joke, and I find myself defending the senior met from time to time......no one here is getting worked up yet. That could change depending on Frances' behavior this week.


No reason for anyone on the gulf coast or the SE coast to get worked up..YET.
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#30 Postby BlizzardNole » Fri Aug 27, 2004 8:46 am

Hey WeatherNole!! How long before the folks on Warchant.com go into panic mode over this? Hope it doesn't come anywhere near FL...they deserve a break.

BTW, do you think the Miami Hurricanes are gonna get sheared apart on Sept 6!?!
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#31 Postby JPmia » Fri Aug 27, 2004 8:53 am

Kamal is a nice guy (i've met him before)...i guess we all make mistakes...i agree jalauderdal...he does a pretty good job considering the station he works for.
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#32 Postby dhweather » Fri Aug 27, 2004 8:55 am

Frances is a *long* way out, so next week is the time the local mets will start intense focus on Frances.
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#33 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 27, 2004 8:58 am

BlizzardNole wrote:BTW, do you think the Miami Hurricanes are gonna get sheared apart on Sept 6!?!


Ain't gonna happen! You guys are coming to our house!

Go Canes! ;-)
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#34 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 9:05 am

Local Fox affiliate this morning

"I think Frances will take a path like Isabel.. coming very close to Florida.. the strength of the high will determine whether or not she becomes a factor in Florida's weather.. don't ride her off over the weekend, and keep checking updates as she treks across the ocean"
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#35 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 27, 2004 9:23 am

First coast news 12/25 Jacksonville

The earliest the storm could have an impact on the mainland, if it were to head our way, would be mid to late next week. The 72-hour forecast shows Frances still over open water and due east of Puerto Rico, still a good distance offshore. But Saturday and Sunday will be crucial days to watch to see if a turn to the NW is made. More models are indicating an upper level trough over northern Canada may not move as far south allowing a high pressure ridge north of the storm to keep steering Frances west. This scenario would put Florida at greater risk compared to a more northwesterly track. Frances is on a similar track that hurricane Andrew took in 1992. Florida has a greater chance of getting hit when storms make a track just north of the Leeward Islands. And if the strength of the Bermuda High stays strong, Frances may head on that perilous direction.



http://www.firstcoastnews.com/news/tops ... ryid=23224
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#36 Postby Lutrastorm » Fri Aug 27, 2004 4:46 pm

bump
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#37 Postby Windsong » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:03 pm

Today Orlando's Tom Terry says to stay vigilent. He says the extended outlook brings Frances very very close to FL and we need to keep a close watch. He extended his hand into Central FL at about WPB.

He also says TD7 will be Gaston and landfall in about 48 hours in the carolinas.
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nothing too crazy here in WPB, FL

#38 Postby Weatherboy1 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:24 pm

Too early, watch and wait, don't panic -- these things sometimes fall apart, they get sheared ... could go up the coast ... some models take it south of us, some north of us, etc. One mentioned the synoptic sampling mission on Sunday that would give us a better idea for the atmosphere around the storm. I think they're waiting for the 5-day "cone" to include FL land before turning things up a notch. Good for them.
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#39 Postby Ixolib » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:38 pm

Rocketman wrote:Our local mets are regarded as a joke, and I find myself defending the senior met from time to time......no one here is getting worked up yet. That could change depending on Frances' behavior this week.


Tommy Richards a joke - say it ain't so!! :lol:
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#40 Postby Windsong » Fri Aug 27, 2004 6:06 pm

On the last broadcast, Tom Terry added that Frances could grow to the size of FLOYD. He called it a monstrasity.
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