A Definate Wobble West

[Guest]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[cycloneye]

We need at least 6 frames to see if it is a wobble or a trend but here in Puerto Rico and the islands we are watching every move of that powerful hurricane

[huricanwatcher]

guess you musta been laying on the couch and looking at that.. looking like nwn.. to me

[Guest]

It was a big jump west..A full degree or more..The most I have seen all day..

[NorthGaWeather]

I agree a jump west.

[Guest]

guess you musta been laying on the couch and looking at that.. looking like nwn.. to me

Well it wasnt straight west but it was westerly.

[TropicalJon]

I agree...last frame shows a tick to the west...time will tell.

[cycloneye]

3 frames of a more west component but need 3 more frames.

[OURAGAN]

I agree,he seems to me it had a more westward movement the last three frames.

Three more frames will give the tendency of the new track

[Ola]

LOL if ou guys are gonna count every frame from there on, you will have to count let me see......... 7 days would make 336 frames, and it would still be far from land..... good luck, keep us posted

[Brent]

Island folks better hope that's a wobble. It's only at 16 N.

[feederband]

wobble,wobble,wobble

[Guest]

LOL if ou guys are gonna count every frame from there on, you will have to count let me see......... 7 days would make 336 frames, and it would still be far from land..... good luck, keep us posted

LOL I see alot of people being institutionalized after alll is set & done myself included..I for one am allready burning out & we still have a long way to go but its that time of year we have a beautiful cane out there & I'm goin nuts.

Having said that its not 7 days from you Ola,a wobble west that becomes a trend puts you in harms way sooner than later.

[Nimbus]

That wobble to the north earlier might have been a warning sign, these storms often wobble just before they change direction. If anybody with a more frequently updated loop sees a move back north please chime in so the island folks can get some sleep tonight.

[cape_escape]

That wobble to the north earlier might have been a warning sign, these storms often wobble just before they change direction. If anybody with a more frequently updated loop sees a move back north please chime in so the island folks can get some sleep tonight.

My thoughts and prayers are with all of you on the islands! I don't know how you do it!

[stormernie]

Now moving back Northwest

[Air Force Met]

Now moving back Northwest

Not yet...that last image makes it look like that...but it is actually the dissipation of the inner eyewall...the center is still on a 290 or so.

The Dvorak shows this a little clearer...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Dean4Storms]

A definite (very quick) turn back to 280-290, so much so that the eye wall got tilted from the upper structure. If this track continues tonight a hurricane watch will be needed by early morning Sat. for the islands.

[Air Force Met]

A definite (very quick) turn back to 280-290, so much so that the eye wall got tilted from the upper structure. If this track continues tonight a hurricane watch will be needed by early morning Sat. for the islands.

If it stayed moving at 285..it would pass about 70 miles NE of the Islands...and about 120 miles NE of PR.

[Dean4Storms]

A definite (very quick) turn back to 280-290, so much so that the eye wall got tilted from the upper structure. If this track continues tonight a hurricane watch will be needed by early morning Sat. for the islands.

If it stayed moving at 285..it would pass about 70 miles NE of the Islands...and about 120 miles NE of PR.

You are right I know, but any wobble or a reaction to the ridge building back in behind the trough could cause a wsw turn and I don't think the NHC would risk not placing the northern islands under at least a watch with that close a pass, would you?