Question About The National Hurricane Center and Frances

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snowflake
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Question About The National Hurricane Center and Frances

#1 Postby snowflake » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:32 am

When will the hurricane center have a better handle on where Frances is going? I would also like to know if there are any meteoroligist registered here.
Last edited by snowflake on Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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wx247
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#2 Postby wx247 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:34 am

Give them at least three to five more days, but even then they will be subject to error still.
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#3 Postby snowflake » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:35 am

wx247 wrote:Give them at least three to five more days, but even then they will be subject to error still.


Thanks
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#4 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:37 am

There are several Pro Mets here snowflake.
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#5 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:40 am

3-5 days is pretty good for the U.S. but let us not forget the islands. The appraoch towards the islands and it's ultimate locations in relevance to PR will be a good indication as she approaches the Bahamas. If Gaston hangs around longer than expected, it could be a bit difficult. NOAA jet is to be in the area I beleive Sunday evening. Confidence goes up considerably and models refine the projections based on this jet upper level condition data.
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Re: Question About The National Hurricane Center and Frances

#6 Postby Air Force Met » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:44 am

snowflake wrote:When will the hurricane center have a better handle on where Frances is going? I would also like to know if there are any meteoroligist registered here.


Look at my avatar....next to my name. When you see that...then the person is a meteorologist.
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#7 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:49 am

Lindaloo wrote:There are several Pro Mets here snowflake.


All of the excellent....
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ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:07 am

There is always less confidence in tropical cyclone forecast tracks versus "regular" baroclinic low forecast tracks throughout a forecast period.
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