Frances Advisories

[goodlife]

Roxy check out this post
http://www.hannity.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=85691&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=25

[jlauderdal]

Yeah it looks more and more that Frances will threaten south florida but eventhough I am nervous, I think the wise thing to do is to watch it for juuuuust 2 or 3 more days. On Monday morning I will decide if I am realy goiing to be crapping in my pants or not. lol!!

<RICKY>

i recommend the use of the toilet next week because after that miramar sewer sytem might not be working

LOL! oh your just too much jlauderal. Not even giving me some slack. lol

<RICKY>

can you imagine thos sat dishes at nbc 6 on 75 in 115 mph winds..lol..roland would be bummin big time with out his storm scan 6 or whatever they call it

lol roland and NBC 6 are right around the corner from my house. I seriously doubt that their station can handle 115mph winds. Safe to say, IF Frances comes our way Roland will NOT be live on TV.

<RICKY>

that building looks like it was built out of fiberboard and the tower on top that houses the doppler, well that thing is the first to go

[ColdFront77]

Indeed Derek. Thanks.

[BlizzardNole]

What was that term they used to describe the unusual, Pacific typhoon-like structure of Isabel when she was at her peak? Thanks!

[Anonymous]

That is one of the first things I noticed this morning, while looking at the satellite pictures. I vividly remember Isabel's pentagon of mesovortices, as her eye was quite large and one could see straight down to the ocean. Some of those shots were absolutely awesome! Haven't seen anything like it since, but Frances may be the next to give us that site.

[ColdFront77]

Yeah it looks more and more that Frances will threaten south florida but eventhough I am nervous, I think the wise thing to do is to watch it for juuuuust 2 or 3 more days. On Monday morning I will decide if I am realy goiing to be crapping in my pants or not. lol!!

<RICKY>

I'd say Monday morning is too early and so is most of next week and eve when the system is even within 150 miles of the U.S. east coast.

[HurricaneQueen]

What are the odds that we get the effects Frances here in St. Maarten and arrive home to meet her again in SW FL????

[jlauderdal]

Yeah it looks more and more that Frances will threaten south florida but eventhough I am nervous, I think the wise thing to do is to watch it for juuuuust 2 or 3 more days. On Monday morning I will decide if I am realy goiing to be crapping in my pants or not. lol!!

<RICKY>

I'd say Monday morning is too early and so is most of next week and eve when the system is even within 150 miles of the U.S. east coast.

so a cat 3 is within 150 miles of the coast and you still wouldnt have a good idea where it si going?

[wxman57]

Remember that the tracks for Floyd and Isabel looked like they were heading right for Florida. I still think a NW-N turn near the Bahamas is more likely than Frances continuing W-WNW across S. Florida or northern Cuba.

Perhaps once we get the G-IV aircraft out there to sample the environment around both storms the models will come to an agreement by Monday morning.

[ColdFront77]

so a cat 3 is within 150 miles of the coast and you still wouldnt have a good idea where it si going?

Sure a better idea, but shouldn't be considered "concrete."

Look what happen to Charley. There have certainly been other tropical cyclones that have shifted direction during the prior 6 to 24 hours to landfall.

[Rainband]

That would be Great news for Florida. Still plenty of time to watch.

[ColdFront77]

Perhaps once we get the G-IV aircraft out there to sample the environment around both storms the models will come to an agreement by Monday morning.

The G-IV aircraft is more effiencent than most if not all the other data that is released.

[Rainband]

I don't want it anywhere near 28N. thats my backyard. Great update mike, as always!!!

[Skywatch_NC]

Remember that the tracks for Floyd and Isabel looked like they were heading right for Florida. I still think a NW-N turn near the Bahamas is more likely than Frances continuing W-WNW across S. Florida or northern Cuba.

Perhaps once we get the G-IV aircraft out there to sample the environment around both storms the models will come to an agreement by Monday morning.

Sure wouldn't bode well for the Carolinas if that were to happen.

[Weatherboy1]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh3.html

If you look at the water vapor loops, you can see the high starting to build in behind that departing Newfoundland low. But what about that ULL to Frances' NW by about 10 degress? Wouldn't that serve to steer Frances a bit more N? It seems like that may be what's happening because in the last few loops, Frances seems to be jogging that way. I haven't seen any mention of this feature in the discussions and I'm wondering why that is. Thanks...

[Rainband]

That would be excellent news!!! If it is happening

[cinlfla]

If you look at the water vapor loops, you can see the high starting to build in behind that departing Newfoundland low. But what about that ULL to Frances' NW by about 10 degress? Wouldn't that serve to steer Frances a bit more N? It seems like that may be what's happening because in the last few loops, Frances seems to be jogging that way. I haven't seen any mention of this feature in the discussions and I'm wondering why that is. Thanks...

I've noticed a more northward movement also, unless my eyes are just tired.
Cindy

[chris_fit]

Frances still has a few degrees in lat to go before the westerly turn.


The ULL will not effect it's movement I think. It is too far away, and moving away. If anything it's just helping "vent" Frances (causes storm to strengthen and/or maintain strength)

[Guest]

She jogs west a few frames then she jogs north a few..Remember hurricanes dont just go in a straight line.

[cape_escape]

Ok...Yesterday it was passing Ft Myers, this time it says near Naples...I'm nestled between the two of them...Yikes! Either way, I'm not a happy camper right now! I say GO AWAY FRANCES!!! Thanks for the reports thou, I'm looking forward to the next update!