12Z European Model...Same Song...Same Dance

#1 Postby **MWatkins** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 1:54 pm

The 12Z Euro...one again....depicts a very strong cyclone approaching the SE Florida coast...and nothing hanging to turn frances northward.

Usually...when the Euro is this persistent...it is hard to agrue with...the same model called Isabel over and over and over again last year. It tends to handle big storms like this one quite well:

MW

vacanechaser · #2 Postby **vacanechaser** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 1:57 pm

thanx Mike... looks like we might have the dinner with you...

Guest · #3 Postby **Guest** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 1:59 pm

With so many models coming into some sort of agreement on this scenario this far out how likely is it for some dramatic change?

GulfBreezer · #4 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:01 pm

If this is the case, it sure would be great news!!

JTD · #5 Postby **JTD** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:01 pm

Mike....what can I say?

You are such a tremendous forecaster and I cannot even begin to say how much I value your opinions. Your radio show is 2nd to none. Thanks for posting all this model data as well.

Just all around Thanks!

vacanechaser · #6 Postby **vacanechaser** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:02 pm

the euro is one of the bst like Mike said... This could really start to be the target area... I am thinking maybe just a bit more north... however, i thought charley was starting to weaken abit o radar when it was really tightening up... lol... i was in the back of the Tahoe -removed- it to weaken I guess.. lol... It is looking bad for Florida at this point...

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:21 pm

GulfBreezer wrote:If this is the case, it sure would be great news!!

for you maybe :lol:

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:22 pm

Like I said, if it's father north then it looks similar to Erin all over again but 3 times stronger :eek:

lilbump3000 · #9 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:24 pm

She seems to be on her W to WNW track again. If this is the movement now, the national hurricane center will have to adjust there track to the left again.

GulfBreezer · #10 Postby **GulfBreezer** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:25 pm

Rainband wrote:
GulfBreezer wrote:If this is the case, it sure would be great news!!
for you maybe

It would be for you to if the North movement stayed and then NE......we HAVE to wishcast this one AWAY!!

#11 Postby **JPmia** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:38 pm

Mike, at that point in the model forecast...what direction is Frances going? WNW? W?

Weatherboy1 · #12 Postby **Weatherboy1** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 2:47 pm

I have to tell you, this downright stinks. As others have pointed out, the Euro model is very reliable, and with each of the last three runs, it has moved Frances further and further west. The fact it shows her starting to hook WNW and NW only 100-200 miles off the east coast of FL has me getting more concerned.

12Z European Model...Same Song...Same Dance

12Z European Model...Same Song...Same Dance

this stinks...

Who is online