it might get serious
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Guest
it might get serious
Cat 4 on Fl. beaches is possible. Watch the NHC track. When the cone on the 5 day does not move north and east of the Bahamas instead moves into the Bahamas it is time for S. Floridians to put it into high gear and get ready.
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Guest
- Aquawind
- Category 5

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- Location: Salisbury, NC
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I don't want it here fo sure..Unfortunately everything I am reading has strong ridging..I hope a weakness starts to show up in the models and NHC forecast within the next 48 hours..Picking up speed should make things even more intresting..as a real turn would likely involve another slowdown..I see alot of Florida in the official cone tomorrow..
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Guest
nikolai wrote:Like everyones been saying, we need to watch this situation because it is becoming more and more serious.
P.S- this is my 400th post
1) Happy 400
2) Mike already has a sticky on prep, but I will add this too. People need to start thinking NOW!!!!!
I would like to offer, while Frances is no immediate threat to
the US, many of us forget to check our hurricane plans annually.
Frances may or may not threaten anyone, but right now,
you won't have any trouble stocking up on some essentials:
Flashlights
Batteries for flashlights
Radios
Batteries for radios
Water, enough for at least three days for your household.
Canned food
Manual can opener
Other foods that do not require refrigeration
Any medications you may need
And so on.
Make sure you have your evacuation route planned out.
While I can't tell you where Frances will make landfall, if at all, I can
guarantee you this - if she approaches the US as a major hurricane,
particularly with Charley fresh on everyone's mind, you will not find
ANY of these supplies within 100 miles (or more) of the area expected for landfall.
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Terry
- S2K Supporter

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- Location: Lakeland and Anna Maria Island, FL
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I don't see any "good" tracks for Frances. The Bahamas were hit hard by Floyd. FL by Charley. SC and NC have had to deal with too many tropical cylones.
YIKES --- do I go to Abaco on Thurs. a.m. and risk the eye crossing over me or worse.... my home in Central FL with my daughter caring for the home and pets and the still too many four-legged victims in our Polk County emergency pet shelter? No good options. Go Fishing, Frances or I may have to forgo the Abaco trip and have 300+ animals seeking shelter in my home...........I guess I'll decide on Wed. p.m.
YIKES --- do I go to Abaco on Thurs. a.m. and risk the eye crossing over me or worse.... my home in Central FL with my daughter caring for the home and pets and the still too many four-legged victims in our Polk County emergency pet shelter? No good options. Go Fishing, Frances or I may have to forgo the Abaco trip and have 300+ animals seeking shelter in my home...........I guess I'll decide on Wed. p.m.
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Rainband
Rainband wrote:Be ready but don't start freaking out. Things change quickly with Tropical cyclones. Key is to be prepared anywhere from the east coast to the GOM. The track will become clearer as time passesHopefully this thing becomes fish food
I'm afraid that in 36-48 hours, people are going to be freaking out, in a bad way.
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Rainband
- stormchazer
- Category 5

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- Location: Lakeland, Florida
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I am looking at Monday morning when a FL landfall will fall into the 3-5 day forecast. If things continue, I would say you better put your contigency plans well underway.
I spent time in Southeast Polk Co with Hurricane Charley disaster relief and to those who were not effected and live inland on the possible track of Frances, do not underestimate the potential effect it could have on you.
I spent time in Southeast Polk Co with Hurricane Charley disaster relief and to those who were not effected and live inland on the possible track of Frances, do not underestimate the potential effect it could have on you.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
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