it might get serious

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it might get serious

#1 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:50 pm

Cat 4 on Fl. beaches is possible. Watch the NHC track. When the cone on the 5 day does not move north and east of the Bahamas instead moves into the Bahamas it is time for S. Floridians to put it into high gear and get ready.
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#2 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:54 pm

Like everyones been saying, we need to watch this situation because it is becoming more and more serious.

P.S- this is my 400th post :)
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#3 Postby Aquawind » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:55 pm

I don't want it here fo sure..Unfortunately everything I am reading has strong ridging..I hope a weakness starts to show up in the models and NHC forecast within the next 48 hours..Picking up speed should make things even more intresting..as a real turn would likely involve another slowdown..I see alot of Florida in the official cone tomorrow..
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#4 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:55 pm

Congrats on ur 400th post :lol:
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#5 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:58 pm

lol thank you. I agree with aqua, hopefully it does not hit florida. I'm not saying I want it to hit somewhere else (I hope its a fish) but it would be better if it does due to the fact that Floridians are still cleaning up from Charley.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:01 pm

nikolai wrote:Like everyones been saying, we need to watch this situation because it is becoming more and more serious.

P.S- this is my 400th post :)


1) Happy 400 :D


2) Mike already has a sticky on prep, but I will add this too. People need to start thinking NOW!!!!!

I would like to offer, while Frances is no immediate threat to
the US, many of us forget to check our hurricane plans annually.

Frances may or may not threaten anyone, but right now,
you won't have any trouble stocking up on some essentials:

Flashlights
Batteries for flashlights
Radios
Batteries for radios
Water, enough for at least three days for your household.
Canned food
Manual can opener
Other foods that do not require refrigeration
Any medications you may need
And so on.

Make sure you have your evacuation route planned out.



While I can't tell you where Frances will make landfall, if at all, I can
guarantee you this - if she approaches the US as a major hurricane,
particularly with Charley fresh on everyone's mind, you will not find
ANY of these supplies within 100 miles (or more) of the area expected for landfall.
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#7 Postby Terry » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:07 pm

I don't see any "good" tracks for Frances. The Bahamas were hit hard by Floyd. FL by Charley. SC and NC have had to deal with too many tropical cylones.

YIKES --- do I go to Abaco on Thurs. a.m. and risk the eye crossing over me or worse.... my home in Central FL with my daughter caring for the home and pets and the still too many four-legged victims in our Polk County emergency pet shelter? No good options. Go Fishing, Frances or I may have to forgo the Abaco trip and have 300+ animals seeking shelter in my home...........I guess I'll decide on Wed. p.m.
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#8 Postby Aquawind » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:12 pm

You may not have to wait till Wed...
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#9 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:15 pm

If the track holds... there will be watches up for the Bahamas as early as Tuesday Afternoon.
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Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:37 pm

Be ready but don't start freaking out. Things change quickly with Tropical cyclones. Key is to be prepared anywhere from the east coast to the GOM. The track will become clearer as time passes :wink: Hopefully this thing becomes fish food :P
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#11 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:41 pm

Rainband wrote:Be ready but don't start freaking out. Things change quickly with Tropical cyclones. Key is to be prepared anywhere from the east coast to the GOM. The track will become clearer as time passes :wink: Hopefully this thing becomes fish food :P


I'm afraid that in 36-48 hours, people are going to be freaking out, in a bad way.
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Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:43 pm

Time will tell, hopefully something spares the US. Just pay attention to the Local authorities :P
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#13 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:45 pm

That is paramount in this situation.

There are a lot of folks here, many who have extensive knowledge
on tropical systems.

When things like evacuations come up, people shall listen to local officials and nobody else, don't take that chance, you can not afford to lose!
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#14 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:10 pm

This will not be a hurricane to fool around with.We're talking cat. 5 most likely.Maybe a STRONG cat 5 :eek:
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#15 Postby chris_fit » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:12 pm

canegrl04 wrote:This will not be a hurricane to fool around with.We're talking cat. 5 most likely.Maybe a STRONG cat 5 :eek:


Strong... or just cat 5 is enough :-P :eek:
Let alone a strong cat5
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#16 Postby stormchazer » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:41 pm

I am looking at Monday morning when a FL landfall will fall into the 3-5 day forecast. If things continue, I would say you better put your contigency plans well underway.

I spent time in Southeast Polk Co with Hurricane Charley disaster relief and to those who were not effected and live inland on the possible track of Frances, do not underestimate the potential effect it could have on you.
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