Gaston Advisories

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
TLHR

#241 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:30 pm

BUD wrote:
simplykristi wrote:If I were living along the Sc/NC coastline, I would treat it like the worst case scenario.... possible hurricane.




Just only one problem me and my wife have to go to work in this crap!!!!I hope the govenor of SC issue mandator evacuation.


Not likely, If I were Gov. Sanders, I'd issue a voluntary evacuation of the barrier islands, but no mandatory evacs.
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#242 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:31 pm

Weak cat one, at best.
0 likes   

User avatar
LAwxrgal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1763
Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)

#243 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:31 pm

^I hate to say it, but if Frances becomes what she could become, Charley could look like child's play (even though we know he wasn't).

As for Gaston, he's well on his way to becoming our 5th hurricane! :eek:

7/5/3? :eek:
0 likes   
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#244 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:34 pm

Yes ...

I'm expecting 65 to 75 kt winds (70 kts) before landfall around CHS tomorrow afternoon (between 2 and 5 pm)

http://www.stormsfury1.com (My forecast/prognostic discussion)
0 likes   

doglegleft
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 25
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 3:29 pm
Location: Coastal Carolinas

#245 Postby doglegleft » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:34 pm

Can anyone post a link to a longer time elapsed (24hr) satellite or radar loop?

I may be wrong but I belive Gaston is attempting to join into the olympic spirit with an extremet ocean 360 :D
0 likes   

TLHR

#246 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:35 pm

Huh??

Go here:

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... uery=29464

Click on Local Radar, and then click on Animated.

I see a developing eye heading W to WNW.

I still say Charleston or the Isle Of Palms is the landfall.
0 likes   

NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#247 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:35 pm

Intensification is happening slowly, and organization is improving for this system, however substantial changes in wind speed wont be occuring , and it may gain hurricane status by tomorrow morning, however landfall will occur later tomorrow night, or monday morning early. Dont expect a substantial spike in wind speed, however hurricane force winds in excess of 74mph are possible at landfall
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#248 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:36 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:^I hate to say it, but if Frances becomes what she could become, Charley could look like child's play (even though we know he wasn't).

As for Gaston, he's well on his way to becoming our 5th hurricane! :eek:

7/5/3? :eek:


In July, I sincerely wondered if the Easterlies were just too strong and we wold not have an active season. Obviously, that's incorrect!
0 likes   

NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#249 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:37 pm

I disagree, i think it may head more north northwest, but hey you may be right! based on that radar loop its moving NNW
0 likes   

NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#250 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:40 pm

Besides that radar loop you provided is too short to really show clearly discernable direction, i see very marginal westward movement
0 likes   

seahawkjd
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:12 pm
Location: Morehead City, NC
Contact:

#251 Postby seahawkjd » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:42 pm

Its the exact same thing. You're using a radar that just shows the west wall. The eye is fluctuating; building and falling apart and rebuilding. If you watch any one side you'll think its going all over the place. You have to use a radar that shows the whole eye and the center to get a good fix.
0 likes   

TLHR

#252 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:42 pm

I see your point.

Another item of interest.
Gaston appears to be "eating" the low that was south of Bermuda.
What will happen when these two storms merge?
0 likes   

seahawkjd
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 632
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:12 pm
Location: Morehead City, NC
Contact:

#253 Postby seahawkjd » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:44 pm

Well we know from every bad Japanese anime and live action show that when things merge you get a huge plastic robot with bad pyrotechnics.
0 likes   

doglegleft
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 25
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 3:29 pm
Location: Coastal Carolinas

#254 Postby doglegleft » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:45 pm

thanks TLHR, I was actually looking for a resource that would show the past 24 or even better 48 hours of movement with the storm.... the storm danced in a circle as it developed... I realize it was more of a 270 degree movement from birth to its current state

sorry for the confusion... I was attempting (miserably) to be sarcastic
0 likes   

TLHR

#255 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:45 pm

Johnny Sokko vs. Mothra!!!!!!!

:grr:
0 likes   

TLHR

#256 Postby TLHR » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:51 pm

TLHR wrote:
BUD wrote:
simplykristi wrote:If I were living along the Sc/NC coastline, I would treat it like the worst case scenario.... possible hurricane.




Just only one problem me and my wife have to go to work in this crap!!!!I hope the govenor of SC issue mandator evacuation.


Not likely, If I were Gov. Sanders, I'd issue a voluntary evacuation of the barrier islands, but no mandatory evacs.


In the "he shoots, he scores" category, South Carolina has just issued voluntary evacs for all barier islands.

I would heed these if you live on Seabrook or Kiawah Islands, by the way.
0 likes   

NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#257 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:53 pm

Yes i know, i still say georgetown, myrtle beach area landfall...no doubt
0 likes   

NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#258 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:57 pm

I believe it will be close to a hurricane for landfall, but i dont see it becoming a marginal CAT1
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

Gaston being trivialized?

#259 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:01 pm

With Frances being such a beast and commanding attention, I hope you folks in the carolinas are paying attention to the badly named G storm.
0 likes   

User avatar
Tommedic
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 180
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 10:57 pm
Location: Cape Fear NC
Contact:

#260 Postby Tommedic » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:03 pm

We need to remember Bonnie caused 3 deaths in NC from a tornado that was generated.
0 likes   


Return to “2004”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 68 guests