Hermine Advisories

[HURAKAN]

I give it a 95% shot it will become our next storm, Hermine, in the next 12 to 24 hours. If it continues to excibit its great look that has right now.

[cycloneye]

That will be interesting to watch when both systems interact.

[wx247]

Hermine would be #8. Wow!

I believe it is a borderline situation. More on the order of a 50/50 shot of it being a named TS.

[Matthew5]

I hope a recon go's out!

[LAwxrgal]

Gee whiz!

[dixiebreeze]

Special Tropical Disturbance Statement

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
WONT41 KNHC 291755
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT
360 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA CONTINUES TO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL
BE INITIATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH.

FORECASTER PASCH

[Guest]

It will definitly be a depression by 5. Maybe we'll even have Hermione tomorrow...

[dixiebreeze]

Yep. I'm really not too crazy about the T storm names this season

[dixiebreeze]

growing:

29/1745 UTC 32.1N 70.6W T2.0/2.0 98 -- Atlantic Ocean

[TerryAlly]

Isn't this TD08 that is represented as 08L.NOMAME on NRL?

[Guest]

yea, she definitly is. Has anybody seen the article on accuweather about how the soon to be Hermine could affect New England?

[btsgmdad]

It would definitely be something to see a tropical system roll into New York during the convention

[Matthew5]

Yes it would

[dixiebreeze]

looking good:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/WV/20.jpg

[kevin]

A question. Why water vapor?

[Hyperstorm]

Tropical Storm Gaston Discussion Number 9


Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on August 29, 2004


Gaston continues its trek inland over South Carolina and it should
be moving into North Carolina later tonight. The cyclone is now
barely of tropical storm strength and it is expected to become a
depression within the next few hours. Gaston will continue to
produce locally heavy rains along/near its path.
The motion continues at around 360/7. A gradual turn to the
north-northeast and northeast with increasing forward speed is
predicted...as the cyclone begins to feel the influence of a trough
moving into the northeastern United States over the next couple of
days. The system is likely to lose tropical characteristics as it
moves into the Canadian Maritimes and then get absorbed into a
frontal system. However...prior to this...the larger circulation
of Gaston is expected to absorb Tropical Storm Hermine in the 48
hour time frame.
Since Gaston should continue to weaken over land...the remaining
Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of South Carolina will likely
be discontinued in a few hours.
Forecaster Pasch

forecast positions and Max winds

initial 29/2100z 33.9n 79.6w 35 kt...inland
12hr VT 30/0600z 35.2n 79.2w 30 kt...inland
24hr VT 30/1800z 37.0n 78.0w 30 kt...inland
36hr VT 31/0600z 39.5n 75.0w 30 kt...inland
48hr VT 31/1800z 41.5n 71.0w 30 kt...inland
72hr VT 01/1800z 46.0n 61.0w 30 kt...extratropical
96hr VT 02/1800z...absorbed by frontal system

$$

[WeatherEmperor]

your joking right?

<RICKY>

[Guest]

erm.. thats Gaston.

[Brent]

No, it IS the Gaston discussion but it MENTIONS Hermine meaning it's official.

[Guest]

oh, sorry I didnt see it. Well, this is getting interesting.