Frances Advisories

[btsgmdad]

Amen!

[msbee]

cna you all please translate that data for me?
and what that might mean for the Northern islands?
thanks

[Vortex]

It now appears looking at Water Vapor imagery and Hi-res images that Frances has begun what may be a movement for an extended period to the West....More later...But nice job globals..

[Brent]

cna you all please translate that data for me?
and what that might mean for the Northern islands?
thanks

Same as before. You'll just recieve the fringes of the hurricane. There will probably be Tropical Storm Watches later today for you but there won't be a direct hit. Probably just some squalls with tropical storm force winds.

[drezee]

URNT12 KNHC 291936
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/1935Z
B. 18 DEG 47 MIN N
55 DEG 14 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2685 M
D. 55 KT
E. 230 DEG 075 NM
F. 301 DEG 97 KT
G. 207 DEG 009 NM
H. 949 MB
I. 10 C/ 3023 M
J. 20 C/ 3076 M
K. 8 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C12
N. 12345/7
O. 0.2/2 NM
P. AF861 0106A FRANCES OB 06
MAX FL WIND 97 KT SW QUAD 1933Z.

[HollynLA]

This is being mentioned on many other boards as well. Wonder if this will continue?

[btsgmdad]

If it does it means bad news for S Fla and the GOM

[Brent]

Looks like the intensity is very close to what the NHC had it(1 mb pressure higher).

Ignore the low winds, they haven't gotten the north and east quadrants yet where the most intense winds are.

[btsgmdad]

Good to see the NHC on the mark. They have taken a real pounding lately.

[Guest]

yeah, this advisory seems on the spot (considering its going through an eye wall replacement cycle)

[ColinD]

Oops. Posted same thing in other thread. (1 MB).

[LaBreeze]

Extended period? How long of a period should this be? I'm just curious.

[lilbump3000]

I say extended should be a good 24-48 hours.

[Guest]

that models is the a98e... remember when it had frances heading towards south america?

[PurdueWx80]

URNT10 KNHC 292005
97779 20014 10281 85000 76200 22013 69//1 /5760
AF306 WXWXA 04082919306 OB 01

Either this is a mistake, or they are sending an aircraft out to TD 8 since it looks to be organizing so rapidly.

[lilbump3000]

Yeh they might be sending one out there as well.

[TerryAlly]

Extended period? How long of a period should this be? I'm just curious.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2004

....

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

[LAwxrgal]

This makes me wonder how strong Frances was yesterday.

[golter]

Its been stairstepping like this for a while, it will run due west for a few hours and then NW for a few hours. Overall heading has been WNW.

[btsgmdad]

Moi aussi! (A little French for Frances).