VORTEX DATA MESSAGE

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*StOrmsPr*
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VORTEX DATA MESSAGE

#1 Postby *StOrmsPr* » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:04 pm

URNT12 KNHC 291936
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/1935Z
B. 18 DEG 47 MIN N
55 DEG 14 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2685 M
D. 55 KT
E. 230 DEG 075 NM
F. 301 DEG 97 KT
G. 207 DEG 009 NM
H. 949 MB
I. 10 C/ 3023 M
J. 20 C/ 3076 M
K. 8 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C12
N. 12345/7
O. 0.2/2 NM
P. AF861 0106A FRANCES OB 06
MAX FL WIND 97 KT SW QUAD 1933Z.
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ColinD
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Re: VORTEX DATA MESSAGE

#2 Postby ColinD » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:06 pm

Minimum central pressure only 1 MB off the advisory estimate.
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#3 Postby mf_dolphin » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:10 pm

The south west quad should have the lowest winds. It will be interesting to see the NE quad :-)
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#4 Postby charley » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:15 pm

Can someone please translate this into english for those who are reading this forum and don't know what all of these numbers mean?

Thanks!
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#5 Postby x-y-no » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:19 pm

charley wrote:Can someone please translate this into english for those who are reading this forum and don't know what all of these numbers mean?

Thanks!


See:

http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm
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#6 Postby schmita » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:23 pm

The 11AM advisory had Frances at 18.6 and 54.7.
Obviously going west, but is the dip to 18.4 a trend or a wobble?
Waiting in Sint Maarten
irina
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#7 Postby ColinD » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:27 pm

schmita wrote:The 11AM advisory had Frances at 18.6 and 54.7.
Obviously going west, but is the dip to 18.4 a trend or a wobble?
Waiting in Sint Maarten
irina


60 MIN in a degree so 47 MIN = .78
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#8 Postby charley » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:27 pm

x-y-no wrote:
charley wrote:Can someone please translate this into english for those who are reading this forum and don't know what all of these numbers mean?

Thanks!


See:

http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm


Thank you!!! :D
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#9 Postby Javlin » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:48 pm

That would be 18.23N and 54.78W.It could be just bad dead reckoning with NHC using SAT. but that would be a .4 drop to the S.
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No...

#10 Postby LilNoles2004 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:52 pm

casper wrote:That would be 18.23N and 54.78W.It could be just bad dead reckoning with NHC using SAT. but that would be a .4 drop to the S.


18 DEG 47 MIN N
55 DEG 14 MIN W

Would equal 18.78N and 55.23 W... Not 18.23N and 54.78W.
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#11 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:01 pm

URNT12 KNHC 292116
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/2116Z
B. 18 DEG 49 MIN N
55 DEG 29 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2694 M
D. 65 KT
E. 316 DEG 051 NM
F. 055 DEG 118 KT
G. 320 DEG 009 NM
H. 952 MB
I. 9 C/ 3098 M
J. 20 C/ 3067 M
K. 7 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C16
N. 12345/7
O. 0.2/2 NM
P. AF861 0106A FRANCES OB 15
MAX FL WIND 118 KT NW QUAD 2113Z.
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#12 Postby chris_fit » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:03 pm

Looks weaker... Have there been any eyewall replacement cycles recently?
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#13 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:13 pm

I think one is going on right now.

That latest recon message indicates to me this is still a Strong Category Three.
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#14 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:19 pm

It's probably now a 120 mph hurricane. I suspect they will drop down the winds in the 8pm advisory.

This is probably more than just an eyewall replacement cycle. There was/is limited outflow on the entire south side, which is kind of elongating the hurricane to the N-NE slightly. I don't think this will be long-lasting and by tomorrow, outflow should be expanding on all quadrants.

No Category 5 storm anytime soon...
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