5pm Hermine-40 mph winds, going to be short-lived

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Brent
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5pm Hermine-40 mph winds, going to be short-lived

#1 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:56 pm

will be absorbed by Gaston by mid-week.

Tropical Storm Hermine Forecast/Advisory Number 1

Statement as of 21:00Z on August 29, 2004

tropical storm center located near 32.4n 71.0w at 29/2100z
position accurate within 30 nm

present movement toward the northwest or 325 degrees at 9 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 1008 mb
Max sustained winds 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt.
34 kt....... 25ne 50se 50sw 0nw.
12 ft seas.. 25ne 50se 50sw 0nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 32.4n 71.0w at 29/2100z
at 29/1800z center was located near 32.0n 70.7w

forecast valid 30/0600z 33.5n 72.0w
Max wind 40 kt...gusts 50 kt.
34 kt... 50ne 50se 25sw 50nw.

Forecast valid 30/1800z 35.6n 73.1w
Max wind 45 kt...gusts 55 kt.
34 kt... 50ne 50se 25sw 50nw.

Forecast valid 31/0600z 39.0n 72.0w
Max wind 45 kt...gusts 55 kt.
34 kt... 50ne 50se 25sw 25nw.

Forecast valid 31/1800z...absorbed by Gaston
request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 32.4n 71.0w

next advisory at 30/0300z

forecaster Avila
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 3:59 pm

the whole absorbing thing sounds a little fishy to me. How will the remains of a TD simply destroy a strong Tropical Storm? Hermine is quite small, as is Gaston, so I see them remaining two separate and trackable entities. I'm sure they will interact in some way, but I don't buy this absorption talk just yet.
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#3 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 4:37 pm

PurdueWx80 wrote:the whole absorbing thing sounds a little fishy to me. How will the remains of a TD simply destroy a strong Tropical Storm? Hermine is quite small, as is Gaston, so I see them remaining two separate and trackable entities. I'm sure they will interact in some way, but I don't buy this absorption talk just yet.


I agree.
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#4 Postby Mdecoy233 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 4:41 pm

Just a quick question: Is Hermine what was once Danielle?
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#5 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 29, 2004 4:44 pm

Mdecoy233 wrote:Just a quick question: Is Hermine what was once Danielle?


No. If it was, this would still be Danielle.
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rainstorm

#6 Postby rainstorm » Sun Aug 29, 2004 4:51 pm

hermine formed from a low on an old front near bermuda. hermine should force gaston further west.
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