NOGAPS now showing Cape Canaveral landfall

[JTD]

For what it's worth, NOGAPS now showing Cape Canaveral landfall.

[logybogy]

wow. that was the one that was the right outlier.

so south florida must really be under the gun.

[feederband]

i hope "NOGAPS" HAS SOME GAPS...

[Ground_Zero_92]

Not looking good at all.

[canegrl04]

Good thing theres nothing on the launching pad

[JTD]

To me, best case scenario is if this goes WSW, it could go right into Hispaniola's 10,000 FT mountains. Probably not going to happen, but it's our best hope.

A W, WNW, NW, N, NE turn is looking more and more impossible. Best hope is land interaction.

FOR CONUS. Not for the islands, at all.

[Brent]

Uh oh. That was the model showing this going well east of the Bahamas earlier.

[Windsong]

oh yes there is! There is a military sat on the pad.

[LAwxrgal]

Link?

[das8929]

Bye bye NASA.

[JTD]

Uh oh. That was the model showing this going well east of the Bahamas earlier.

Indeed, Brent. Indeed

Laxgirl, not sure what the link is. Derecho told me in chat room.

[Guest]

I very much doubt we will see a landfall around Cape Canaveral. History says no.

[SeaBrz_FL]

We DO have something on the launch pad! An Atlas 2AS rocket was postponed last night, and was rescheduled for tonight, but I haven't heard the rumble yet.

Hopefully, our folklore logic about why we don't get direct hits will prevail.

[decgirl66]

Isn't there some kind of pressure system off the coast of the Cape that has kept it from getting hit all these years? It seems I read somewhere one time that that part of the Fla coast has never been hit in the history of recorded hurricanes.

[SeaBrz_FL]

Link to all space news from our local newspaper can be found here:

http://www.floridatoday.com/news/space/index.htm

[Windsong]

Isn't there some kind of pressure system off the coast of the Cape that has kept it from getting hit all these years? It seems I read somewhere one time that that part of the Fla coast has never been hit in the history of recorded hurricanes.

NOT true. Here is the link from the Brevard County Emergency Management site: http://www.embrevard.com/haz_hurricane.cfm

Brevard will never be hit by a major hurricane - SIMPLY NOT TRUE!
There is an old "tall tale" that persists, and is believed by some, that Brevard County will not be hit by a killer hurricane. The "tale" claims that the Federal government located the space program at Cape Canaveral and KSC because Brevard’s geographical characteristics and location made it immune to hurricanes. THIS IS SIMPLY NOT TRUE Brevard County has been hit by major hurricanes in the past and it is only a matter of time when, not if, Brevard will be hit again. In 1871, 1880 and 1885 major hurricanes slammed into Brevard County, at and south of Cocoa Beach. The 1885 hurricane’s storm surge pushed the ocean over Cocoa Beach and into the Banana River, flooding out homesteaders and discouraging further settlement. The beach near the Canaveral Light House was so severely eroded, the government was prompted to allot money to move the light house one mile west. Historical information reported that the eye of a "terrible hurricane" took four hours to pass northward over Eau Gallie in 1876. In 1873, a major hurricane exited Florida near Melbourne. In 1928, a major hurricane caused heavy property damage from South Brevard to St. Lucie County. In recent history, Hurricanes Donna in 1960, David in 1979 and Erin in 1995 proved again that Brevard was not immune from hurricanes and the Andrew type "Big One" looms out there in our future. Brevard’s population has exploded since the late 1800's, even since Donna in 1960, and consequently, even a moderate storm will cause considerable damage and danger to its citizens.

Windsong

[SeaBrz_FL]

Have to agree, Windsong, we should never let our guard down, but I was born on the FL East coast (48 yrs ago), and went thru Donna, David, Erin and more, and while we suffered some big damage, these cannot even start to compare to the castastophes caused by Hugo, Isabel, Camille, or Andrew.

I understand the logic behind the County's posting (false safety), and never let this tale affect my storm planning, but I still like to HOPE the spin will continue.

[Patrick99]

To me, best case scenario is if this goes WSW, it could go right into Hispaniola's 10,000 FT mountains. Probably not going to happen, but it's our best hope.

A W, WNW, NW, N, NE turn is looking more and more impossible. Best hope is land interaction.

FOR CONUS. Not for the islands, at all.

That would be absolutely bizarre, if it ended up doing a Debby.

[Windsong]

Have to agree, Windsong, we should never let our guard down, but I was born on the FL East coast (48 yrs ago), and went thru Donna, David, Erin and more, and while we suffered some big damage, these cannot even start to compare to the castastophes caused by Hugo, Isabel, Camille, or Andrew.

I understand the logic behind the County's posting (false safety), and never let this tale affect my storm planning, but I still like to HOPE the spin will continue.

Yeah buddy! I hope so too! Nice having neighbors on the board! I lived in Cape Canaveral / Cocoa Beach for 14 years, and still work beachside. We are about the same age. Wouldn't it be funny if we knew each other?
Denise (windsong)

[ColinD]

I lived in Cape Canaveral / Cocoa Beach for 14 years, and still work beachside. We are about the same age. Wouldn't it be funny if we knew each other?
Denise (windsong)

I went to Cocoa Beach High School.