Every jog is now very important for the islands.

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Nimbus
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#41 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:29 pm

I'm concerned for the Leeward islands now. I know they are used to this kind of thing, but if these SW jogs continue tomorrow it will be pretty rough. The eye may pass between two islands but the storm still has large windfields. Plenty of water south of PR as well as north so you can still hope the storm will not make a direct hit even if it does trend WSW.
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#42 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:41 pm

Now 270 heading from the models more news that I didn't want to see.
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#43 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2004 9:12 pm

Another little jog WSW in last 3 frames makes even more dangerous the period ahead for northern islands.
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#44 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 29, 2004 9:30 pm

I looked at the water vapor imagery to see what was going on. Looks like the upper level flow is getting pushed south a little. Some of Frances's outflow dropped south in synch with the upper level flow to the north. There is supposed to be a plane investigating the environment tonight so we should get some good information. No sense wasting your energy trying to guess, get some sleep.
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