Any chance for turn north? ...Scared in Vero here...

[dolphinslady]

Is there any troph that's gonna come down and sweep Frances off her ___? We're in Vero Beach (with almost ALL of our family) and my dh just returned from Punta Gorda helping out his aunt/uncle. We also witnessed Irene in Palm Beach, which was not fun. (All rain but lots of house damage.)

Anyway, I just haven't seen any tracks taking Frances north, back out to sea and curious 1) is there any chance? and 2) if not, how do they *KNOW* there isn't something to stear her back out there?

[jaysonx]

A storm like this can do whatever it wants, whenever it wants. Start making preparations now, but don't start taking things very seriously until its 72 hours out. So much can change between now and then.

[stormwatcher]

This is quickly begining to look like a Floyd type situation. Don't fell good about this one.

[WorryWart]

Hi. I'm in Vero too. Earlier today I saw a model on some other site that took the storm parallel to the coast in close, with the eye about 100 miles off and continuing north without making landfall in Fl. It may not even have been reliable. Anybody else see the same?

[jaysonx]

Hi. I'm in Vero too. Earlier today I saw a model on some other site that took the storm parallel to the coast in close, with the eye about 100 miles off and continuing north without making landfall in Fl. It may not even have been reliable. Anybody else see the same?

NO model is going to be reliable this far out... models currently have the storm doing anything and everything. Don't even look at the models again until next Wednesday.

[GulfBreezer]

Please just be prepared and watch for updates. At this point, a lot could happen, but it is so much better to have a plan and not have to use it, than to not have one and need it.
Stay tuned to S2K..........

[Guest]

This is quickly begining to look like a Floyd type situation. Don't fell good about this one.

By any chance are you from the Carolinas?

[Phoenix78]

I'm posting from Vero Beach also - I work at IRMH and believe me we are keeping a close eye on our friend Frances.

The only advice I can offer is to read the many posts on this site re preparation. Always have a "Plan B". My family's plan is to stay put for a Cat 1 or 2 but bug-out for anything stonger. I stay at the hospital - my family heads to Valdosta 48 hours before landfall.

Tell me where you are! I'd like to keep in touch!

...Alan K.

[stormwatcher]

yep. i'm from the carolinas and one of those individuals that has to get out a pull the people who want heed the warnings out of the way when they realize they should have listen.. some people never learn. i remember floyd to well and this looks like another one . history does repeat itself sometimes.

[depotoo]

I'm in Palm Beach and it looks like Frances is headed right for me
If we evacuate when sould we do it?

[FireCracker]

Another Vero-ite
Phoenix and Gulf are right/ have a plan maybe even a plan c and d. Those of you thinking of staying put in a 1 or 2 remember storms may intensify. Just came back from a 7 day relief mission at pine island, upper upper captiva, useppa, bokeelia and area. I kept hearing "prepare for the worst, hope for the best".

If you are planning to leave do so before the official watch is issued. If the storm misses, so what, it is not worth the gamble of staying.

As with any stressfull event the elderly and kids are the ones that will suffer the aftermath of no power, water, etc. the most.

Consider the entire family and pets in your plan. I will be in the EOC but my family will evac in 3 or higher based on latest official reports of landfall. At some point it becomes a SWAG as to when and if we should leave.