Stupid question....
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Stupid question....
But when should we know, with a fair amount of certainty (realizing that it is never really certain until it hits), where Frances is going to hit? Will we know by Thursday?
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lilbump3000
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soonertwister
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By sometime Wednesday there should be some degree of accuracy in the track forecast, but remember than anyone within the NHC forecast track "cone" should be prepared for possible hurricane force winds. By Wednesday evening or Thursday morning you should have a fairly good idea as to whether or not Frances is going to get near you. Remember that Frances is a powerful storm that could affect a large region. Do not focus on the center of the projected track!
Being in South Carolina it would take significantly longer for Frances to get to you than to South Florida, so your decisions should be much easier. I'd have all my hurricane preparations brought to at least 80-90% completion by Thursday morning, finishing up if needed on Thursday. Friday is when you would probably decide, preferably very early, whether to leave or stay. If you live anywhere close to the coast (within several miles or more, check out your local storm surge maps) or in a low-lying area somewhat inland but near water; or farther inland within any potential flood zone of a river or creek (which may be higher than you think); or in a building that may not be capable of handling very high winds; then you should have evacuation plans, even if you don't need to use them.
Make sure you don't get caught out on the road, and use all the information available here and elsewhere to make your preparations. While Frances may not come your way, no one can afford to be complacent with a storm this large and powerful. Please use common sense at all times, and be careful. Keep family and friends up to date on your plans, and be sure to take care of pets and ease the fears of smaller children.
Whatever you do, if you are unsure as to whether or not to evacuate, don't wait until the last minute if you need to get out. get out considerably earlier than that. Travel may be much slower than you expect if large numbers of people are on the road, especially if the weather has gotten bad with rain bands and driving winds. Try to avoid that as much as possible. Keep your car tanked up, and when it's time to go, go.
Remember, where you evacuate to is not as critical as what you are evacuating to. You want somewhere not at risk of flooding or destruction by high winds. For many people, that may be all that is available to them. It isn't necessary to get completely out of harm's way, but to get away from all those things that pose the greatest risk to you. If you do not have very substantial shelter built up to and checked to be compliant to hurricane code, don't take chances.
Good luck, and God bless.
Being in South Carolina it would take significantly longer for Frances to get to you than to South Florida, so your decisions should be much easier. I'd have all my hurricane preparations brought to at least 80-90% completion by Thursday morning, finishing up if needed on Thursday. Friday is when you would probably decide, preferably very early, whether to leave or stay. If you live anywhere close to the coast (within several miles or more, check out your local storm surge maps) or in a low-lying area somewhat inland but near water; or farther inland within any potential flood zone of a river or creek (which may be higher than you think); or in a building that may not be capable of handling very high winds; then you should have evacuation plans, even if you don't need to use them.
Make sure you don't get caught out on the road, and use all the information available here and elsewhere to make your preparations. While Frances may not come your way, no one can afford to be complacent with a storm this large and powerful. Please use common sense at all times, and be careful. Keep family and friends up to date on your plans, and be sure to take care of pets and ease the fears of smaller children.
Whatever you do, if you are unsure as to whether or not to evacuate, don't wait until the last minute if you need to get out. get out considerably earlier than that. Travel may be much slower than you expect if large numbers of people are on the road, especially if the weather has gotten bad with rain bands and driving winds. Try to avoid that as much as possible. Keep your car tanked up, and when it's time to go, go.
Remember, where you evacuate to is not as critical as what you are evacuating to. You want somewhere not at risk of flooding or destruction by high winds. For many people, that may be all that is available to them. It isn't necessary to get completely out of harm's way, but to get away from all those things that pose the greatest risk to you. If you do not have very substantial shelter built up to and checked to be compliant to hurricane code, don't take chances.
Good luck, and God bless.
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